US numbers haven’t moved since last night.
I am not sure if that’s because they actually haven’t moved, or because Johns Hopkins is late on updating their map.
Overall, 250.856 cases world wide, 10.067 dead.
As of right now, the CDC is reporting 15,219 known cases and 201 known deaths.
That is a 1.32% known mortality rate
Johns Hopkins has updated its site. 2:00 pm mountain time.
16,605 known cases, 216 deaths.
Japan still under 1,000, as is Australia.
17,303 with 221 dead, now.
Was just listening to the radio on the way home. Apparently, hospitalizations of the younger folks is increasing because they are not taking precautions.
And if the estimated 80% don’t get sick enough to seek medical attention is accurate, that is a 0.26% mortality rate.
6:24 pm update
US now at 19,101 cases surpassing South Korea by a long way. (South Korea and the US reported their first cases on the same day.)
249 dead.
But in an important qualification, an analysis by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported on Wednesday underlines a message that infectious disease experts have been emphasizing: Millennials are not invincible. The new data show that up to one-fifth of infected people ages 20-44 have been hospitalized, including 2%-4% who required treatment in an intensive care unit.
I don’t think anybody from the beginning has said that young people are invincible to this virus. They are just as likely be infected and their estimated death rate of 0.2% has been pretty consistent. It is just that they are much less likely to have severe symptoms and a lesser death rate than those over 50.
That is a 1.30% mortality rate.
That is a 1.28% mortality rate.
In the US.
At the moment.
World-wide, it seems to be at 4%.
19,205 at latest update. (740 pm mountain time).
249 dead.
No actually, that extrapolation means it will go down. The estimate of untested and thus unconfirmed cases now in the country is about five time the number of confirmed cases. That puts the current mortality rate in the US down around 0.25%.
1 Like
Every time a new number has been posted this week, the overall mortality rate went down.
Yes, but that is normal when new cases are occurring faster than the disease runs in course in each victim. We really won’t know the effective lethality rate until the number of new cases matches the number of people who are over it (whether back to health or dead.) And we won’t now the actual mortality rate until the dust has settled and they can put a reasonably accurate number of the cases that were not officially reported. Then and only then will the mortality of this virus be comparable with other viral outbreaks such as the seasonal flu or SARS.
When we run out of beds and ventilators then the rate will go up. That’s the part we are trying to avoid
Australia is up to 874 cases now. Victoria increased by 51 and Australia wide by 165 yesterday. In my state we have 64 cases.
Until the hospital system is overwhelmed and some who need intensive care cannot receive that care and die as a consequence.
Washington Post has made their US coronavirus tracking page a free one - no paywall.
New York City apparently has~ 4,000 cases, with ~4,000 throughout the rest of the state.
890 cases in New Jersey.
585 in Illinois.
Massachusetts 413
Washington has 1,524 cases.
California 1,185 cases.
Florida 563, Louisiana 537, Colorado 363.
Rest of the states have far fewer numbers.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/mapping-spread-new-coronavirus/
