The article does not show a rise in unreported crimes. The Oped says this
âMoreover, a rising share of victims are failing to report their victimizations at all. In 2022, only 42% of violent crime victims and 33% of property crime victims bothered to report the crime to police.â
No idea⌠which is why the anyone saying there is a rise in underreporting deserves scrutiny.
In this case, the oped writer provided no data to back that claim up.
True illegals, probably not. But then thatâs been the case forever right? So those numbers have been baked in for as long as weâve been tracking that data.
I pointed out that i agree that the stats as presented are questionable especially given the Baltimore example. The fact that that went over your head is on you. Somebody somewhere taught you guys words to be used in debate like strawman and gaslight but you never actually understood what those words mean.
How do you statistically measure âcommon senseâ?
illegals mostly donât report crimes against them. They may or may not anonymously report crimes against others or others property.
But canât we assume that that reality is already reflected in any crime data we collect? Which means that issue has been baked into the data since the beginning of collecting it.
"Nashvilleâs own data tallied more than 6,900 aggravated assaults in 2023, but the FBI counted only 5,941, leaving almost 1,000 of those offenses âmissing.â This trend is consistent across the board: While 2022âs FBI city-level figures track the policeâs own data, the 2023 numbers consistently undercount offense totals. Any year-to-year comparison overstates decline. "
And this:
"The federal governmentâs own victimsâ survey, which attempts to capture the gap between the number of actual offenses and the number reported to police, shows much higher offense rates than the FBI does. Moreover, a rising share of victims are failing to report their victimizations at all. In 2022, only 42% of violent crime victims and 33% of property crime victims bothered to report the crime to police.
That underreporting reduces the reliability of FBI numbers in measuring actual offense levels. For example, robbery offenses, which constitute roughly 25% of all violent crime by volume compared to 5% for murder, declined 18% between 2019 and 2022, according to the FBI, while the victimâs survey suggests a 30% rise. "
When youâre dealing with someone whose only apparent point is to say you are wrong, none of that matters.