No, not any more than that model you were patting yourself on the back about 2 weeks ago.
How’d that work out?
Amazing analysis here! I’m convinced
What’s going on with the postal service stuff?
Did you read it?
Nothing. They claim they’re going to be “insolvent”. They’ve been “insolvent” for years.
Worked out pretty damn well. Compared to you and GWH, I’m a ■■■■■■■ oracle:
March 18:
Deaths on March 25: 1,028
March 29:
Deaths on 4/1: 5,114
April 2:
Deaths on 4/8: 14,811
Estimated death toll tomorrow: 22,225
Estimated death toll on 4/15: 27,750
As a reminder, here was your prediction:
2 weeks from now I’m confident we’ll be back down at or below 1.2%
We’re at 3.9%.
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No it didn’t. On march 18th we had 150 deaths due to CCCV.
As for mine, we haven’t gotten to that 2 week point.
On March 29 we were at 2592 deaths, not 5,000.
I was talking about your analysis of the article
I know. Did you read it?
Yes I read your analysis
4 x 2600=10,400
Actual increase over the following 7 days was 6,078.
You’re only off by 4,322 Deaths.
You call that “accurate”? You’re off by 41.39%
You need some modeling glue because your model is broken.
Might want to check your numbers. Wednesday to Wednesday, from 4/1 - 4/8:
Worldometers: 14,811 - 5,114 = 9,697 (~93% accuracy)
IMHE: 14,676 - 4,766 = 9910 (~95% accuracy).
coronavirus.1point3acres.com: 14812 − 4722 = 10090 (~97% accuracy).
My predictions were always based off of Wednesday’s numbers from when I began on 3/18.
But yeah, my model needs some glue Mr “I’m confident we’ll be back down at or below 1.2%” in two weeks.
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Actually read the ■■■■■■■ post. I predicted on March 18th that we’d have 1,000 deaths in one week. On March 25, we had 1,028 according to worldometers.
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Again, go actually read the posts correctly. I posted when I was making predictions. Then I showed the actual outcome on the date I was predicting.
So Fauci’s gonna be fired?
trumps approval rating is diving.
rasmussen’s approval index has him at -15,nearly the worst of his presidency
down 10 points in 2 weeks
Videos from today’s press briefing are … wow … where do I even begin.
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When somebody is President of the United States, the authority is total
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I can’t wait.
