Today’s polls and discussion about polls

Early voting is awesome. No matter who you vote for. Get out and vote!

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You have two days to convince me to vote for Kamala.
Start…

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Will accept an election loss. Won’t be a dictator for a day. Won’t go after news channels for being mean to her. Will support Ukraine. Will push an immigration legislation plan. Will support the Affordable Care Act. Will support a woman’s right to her own body. Will not ignore climate change. Will be supported by most of the the staff who worked for Trump. Won’t talk about dicks in press conferences or rallies!!! Will certify the election if it goes against her.

Must say…good try.

You listed a lot of stuff there…

I still don’t see one reason to vote for her.

yesterdays redfield swing state dump

good news for trump
—————————-

florida +4
north carolina +3
nevada +3
georgia +1
arizona +3

good new for no one
—————————-

pennsylvania E
michigan E

good news for harris
—————————-

wisconsin +1

Allan

a few AM polls for your viewing pleasure

good news for trump
—————————-

Arizona +3
michigan +2
Georgia +4

good news for no one
——————————

nevada E
wisconsin E

good news for harris
—————————

new York +19

Allan

a few AM polls to whet your political appetite. :grinning:

good news for trump
—————————-

North Carolina +3
Texas +7
nebraska +14
florida +9
me-2 +9

good news for Harris
—————————-

maryland +30

Allan

most bloomberg from yesterday afternoon

good news for harris
—————————-

nevada +1
pennsyvania +2
michigan +4
michigan +4

good news for no one.
——————————

arizona E
wisconsin E
wisconsin E

good new for trump
—————————

north carolina +2
georgia +2

Allan

a few Am polls for your political enjoyment

good news for trump
—————————-

wisconsin +1
North carolina +2
north Carolina +2
Pennsylvania +2
pennsylvania +1
South dakota +25
arizona +1

good new for no one
—————————-

georgia E

good news for harris
—————————-

maryland +28

Allan

What’s with the RCP national average this is just odd to look at as a conservative.

of course popular votes dont matter, which is why i only post state polls.

Allan

The polls have also overestimated democrats in the last two Presidential elections.

mmaybe they have learned from theor mistakes in the past.

Allan

Yep it’s still odd seeing a presidential Republican close to being in or at least tied for the national lead. It’s and oddly uncomfortable situation I am used to seeing them being slammed in the polls and then edging out the win by the EC.

Does the old rule of thumb doesn’t work no more that the Democrats need to be up at least three-four percentage nationally in order to win the election?

ithink this election can be an exception.

would not surprise me in the least that trump wins the PV
and loses the EV.

Allan

The opposite is more likely to happen. The Democrats have two very populated strongholds that vote overwhelmingly against Trump. That’s California and NYC. Republicans have no such areas with those numbers. Trump might not be able to make up for that in the rest of the country.

It has something to do with the Trump voter they can’t seem to nail down. I watched something regarding this a few days ago. They were off my quite a bit in the last two elections and are actively trying to fix this by asking different questions when polling. We’ll see if it works. I think everyone wants accurate polls.

New york isnt quite the blue wall, its trending red.

california i will agree.

lots of national polls have trump ahead.

Allan

Forget New York. New York City will vote for the democrat by millions of votes. It won’t even be close.