You know evolution is a thing, and current species have evolved to thrive in the current icehouse period.
Sudden changes will drive these species extinct. There just hasnât been enough time for current life to adapt.
You know evolution is a thing, and current species have evolved to thrive in the current icehouse period.
Sudden changes will drive these species extinct. There just hasnât been enough time for current life to adapt.
Not really, happens all the time with volcanoes and doesnât cause an ice age. And itâs not permanent so it reverses itself.
Samm:
How did sea turtles and coral survive the previous warm periods? They have both been here a lot longer than we have.
You know evolution is a thing, and current species have evolved to thrive in the current icehouse period.
Sudden changes will drive these species extinct. There just hasnât been enough time for current life to adapt.
Are corals and sea turtles different now than they used to be? Has evolution stopped?
Dem:
Samm:
How did sea turtles and coral survive the previous warm periods? They have both been here a lot longer than we have.
You know evolution is a thing, and current species have evolved to thrive in the current icehouse period.
Sudden changes will drive these species extinct. There just hasnât been enough time for current life to adapt.
Are corals and sea turtles different now than they used to be? Has evolution stopped?
Something like 99% of all species that ever existed are extinct, other species adapt and fill those niches
Samm:
zantax:
Orygun:
Ya 1.5 has sailed. Most folks feel we will be lucky to stay under 3 degrees by 2100- completely changing the entire climate of the Earth. Catastrophic but if there are feedback loops such as melting the permafrost- we could get to 5- unimaginable.
You know we can solve it any time we like by injecting particulate into the upper atmosphere right? We arenât monkeys.
Great way to bring in an ice age.
Not really, happens all the time with volcanoes and doesnât cause an ice age. And itâs not permanent so it reverses itself.
Oh, contrare, volcanoes have brought on ice ages.
zantax:
Samm:
zantax:
Orygun:
Ya 1.5 has sailed. Most folks feel we will be lucky to stay under 3 degrees by 2100- completely changing the entire climate of the Earth. Catastrophic but if there are feedback loops such as melting the permafrost- we could get to 5- unimaginable.
You know we can solve it any time we like by injecting particulate into the upper atmosphere right? We arenât monkeys.
Great way to bring in an ice age.
Not really, happens all the time with volcanoes and doesnât cause an ice age. And itâs not permanent so it reverses itself.
Oh, contrare, volcanoes have brought on ice ages.
Ok well, we donât put that much in, we know of ones that have caused just a few degree drop and what the volume was. Not something I would do now or lightly but in a pinch if we were really hurting sure.
Samm:
zantax:
Samm:
zantax:
Orygun:
Ya 1.5 has sailed. Most folks feel we will be lucky to stay under 3 degrees by 2100- completely changing the entire climate of the Earth. Catastrophic but if there are feedback loops such as melting the permafrost- we could get to 5- unimaginable.
You know we can solve it any time we like by injecting particulate into the upper atmosphere right? We arenât monkeys.
Great way to bring in an ice age.
Not really, happens all the time with volcanoes and doesnât cause an ice age. And itâs not permanent so it reverses itself.
Oh, contrare, volcanoes have brought on ice ages.
Ok well, we donât put that much in, we know of ones that have caused just a few degree drop and what the volume was. Not something I would do now or lightly but in a pinch if we were really hurting sure.
Sorry, I donât share your confidence. When you start tinkering with the heat balance of the planet on that scale, a lot can and probably will go wrong.
True story: a buddy of mine, whose 2 adult sons still live at home is tormented daily by them and his wife with tales of climate doom and gloom and how Bernie was the one who could have reversed this. The doom and gloomers are actually planning to move to a northern state in the next few years because they are convinced Kentucky and the rest of the southeast will be a desert in 5-7 years. He told them all to have fun with the move.
I fully believe every word of this. Thereâs absolutely a segment of progressive youth that believes only Bernie Sanders or AoC can change the weather.
Dem:
Samm:
How did sea turtles and coral survive the previous warm periods? They have both been here a lot longer than we have.
You know evolution is a thing, and current species have evolved to thrive in the current icehouse period.
Sudden changes will drive these species extinct. There just hasnât been enough time for current life to adapt.
Are corals and sea turtles different now than they used to be? Has evolution stopped?
You think they are going to evolve rapidly enough within the next 80 years to survive the temperature change?
In the last 10 years weâve lost 14% of Coral. Those numbers will rise as temperature rises.
China has to step up to the plate or itâs all for naught even according to John Kerry. This isnât some âwe should do nothingâ comment but reality from the worlds biggest emitter China.
âKerry reportedly emphasized that the world can not âsolve the climate crisisâ without the engagement of China, noting that the worldâs second-largest economy produces 27 percent of all global emissions. Without âsignificant reduction effortsâ by China, the spokesperson noted, the globe will not be able to reach its goal of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius. - John Kerry - special presidential envoy for climate.â
And what is China doing besides mass genocide of Uyghurs building more and more coal plants and not just in China but other countries as well. The West canât solve this, whether people want to acknowledge it or not the west has been reducing carbon while the East is partying like we are in the early days of the industrial revolution. Itâs to big to ignore.
zantax:
Samm:
zantax:
Samm:
zantax:
Orygun:
Ya 1.5 has sailed. Most folks feel we will be lucky to stay under 3 degrees by 2100- completely changing the entire climate of the Earth. Catastrophic but if there are feedback loops such as melting the permafrost- we could get to 5- unimaginable.
You know we can solve it any time we like by injecting particulate into the upper atmosphere right? We arenât monkeys.
Great way to bring in an ice age.
Not really, happens all the time with volcanoes and doesnât cause an ice age. And itâs not permanent so it reverses itself.
Oh, contrare, volcanoes have brought on ice ages.
Ok well, we donât put that much in, we know of ones that have caused just a few degree drop and what the volume was. Not something I would do now or lightly but in a pinch if we were really hurting sure.
Sorry, I donât share your confidence. When you start tinkering with the heat balance of the planet on that scale, a lot can and probably will go wrong.
I think weâll have much better modeling by the time that would be needed.
Samm:
Dem:
Samm:
How did sea turtles and coral survive the previous warm periods? They have both been here a lot longer than we have.
You know evolution is a thing, and current species have evolved to thrive in the current icehouse period.
Sudden changes will drive these species extinct. There just hasnât been enough time for current life to adapt.
Are corals and sea turtles different now than they used to be? Has evolution stopped?
You think they are going to evolve rapidly enough within the next 80 years to survive the temperature change?
In the last 10 years weâve lost 14% of Coral. Those numbers will rise as temperature rises.
You know we are pretty good at genetic engineering and selective breeding right? Humans no longer have to wait for natural evolution to happen on its own.
Samm:
Dem:
Samm:
How did sea turtles and coral survive the previous warm periods? They have both been here a lot longer than we have.
You know evolution is a thing, and current species have evolved to thrive in the current icehouse period.
Sudden changes will drive these species extinct. There just hasnât been enough time for current life to adapt.
Are corals and sea turtles different now than they used to be? Has evolution stopped?
You think they are going to evolve rapidly enough within the next 80 years to survive the temperature change?
In the last 10 years weâve lost 14% of Coral. Those numbers will rise as temperature rises.
When the only factor you look at is temperature, if course temperature is going to be the primary suspect cause.
But I will admit that I was really bummed about a decade
ago when I was finally able to scuba dive and all the coral
was browned out in Barbados.
Borgia_dude:
Samm:
Borgia_dude:
Samm:
Borgia_dude:
Samm:
Borgia_dude:
zantax:
Borgia_dude:
zantax:
Orygun:
You have more hope than I. But I hope you are right.
Information-related fields advance exponentially, we are hitting the steep part of that curve, I am more worried about super AI than climate change.
Every part of an exponential curve is the steep part. Itâs all relative.
Looks like one part is steeper to me.
Zoom in. Steep is relative.
But your point isnât.
2, 4, 8, 16, 32âŚ
Where isnât it âsteepâ?
The exponential can be called steep because steep is relative. But your point is not relative. I thought that was clear.
My point is the very definition of relative. Every âpresent dayâ will seem to be the steep part of the curve.
If the present day is year 5, we are in the steep part of the curve. If present day is year 20, we are in the steep part of the curve. If present day is year 100, we are in the steep part of the curve. But at each of the latter two âpresent daysâ, the previous âpresent daysâ of 5, and 5 and 20 respectively will look rather flat.
Thatâs the nature of the exponential growth curve.
But the reality is technology will not grow indefinitely at an exponential rate.
Only in your mind. For everyone else, not so much.
2,4,8,16,32 where is the steep part of the curve?
2,4,8,16,32,64,128,256,512,1024,2056 where is the steep part of the curve?
Itâs quite simple. Surely a man of math like you can see the steep part is always the tail, or present day, no matter when that present day was. 50 years from now they will be saying 2021 was still in the flat. (Assuming a continuation of exponential growth)
^^^ Still missing the point. Iâm not talking about the curve.
Ok. The rest of us were.
I think information related fields will advance exponentially until they hit some sort of maximum. Such that we have universal knowledge. And we have unlimited power. Long way to go but we are ramping up quickly. Provided we donât kill our selves off first.
I donât think so. There will be maximums or diminishing returns.
Iâm not accountable for what everyone else posts.
zantax:
I think information related fields will advance exponentially until they hit some sort of maximum. Such that we have universal knowledge. And we have unlimited power. Long way to go but we are ramping up quickly. Provided we donât kill our selves off first.
I donât think so. There will be maximums or diminishing returns.
There will be some limits imposed by physics. But considering we donât know everything, no telling what they are.
Those algorithms are working overtime.
Better than economists that didnât see 10 trillion jump starting inflation.
OvertimeâŚso preciseâŚsounds almost real.