https://mobile.twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1167973789319065601
https://mobile.twitter.com/webberweather/status/1167973884085309440
https://mobile.twitter.com/PaulFox13/status/1167969062904680449
https://mobile.twitter.com/webberweather/status/1167981523108323328
I think it is worth noting that the Labor Day Hurricane of 1935 had a pressure of 892 mb and 185 MPH winds.
Just two days earlier, it had been measured at Tropical Storm strength over the Bahamas.
I was going to ask what the person who did the yellow prediction was drinking when they looked at their numbers.
I assume you are speaking of the TABS model, which I incorrectly described as the TABB model earlier. The three TAB models are generally unreliable and are not used in the ensemble models or for forecasting.
TABS is reaching that crazy result by far over-estimating the effect of a low pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico west of Florida, while not properly estimating other factors, thus the ridiculous trip to the west.
I am not sure why they insist on cluttering the model sheet with the TAB models and other unreliable models.
1200Z model runs take it closer to the coast.
180 MPH, 913 MB
We are approaching Labor Day Storm of 1935 territory.
Damn…hope it doesnt make landfall.
A Hurricane Watch is up from Deerfield Beach north to the Brevard/Volusia County line. A Tropical Storm Watch is up for Lake Okeechobee and North of Golden Beach to Deerfield Beach. A Tropical Storm Warning is up for Deerfield Beach to Sebastian Inlet.
If it hit at that strength, there would be a virtual 100% destruction/100% kill zone along the path of the eye and about 5 miles either side of the eye for the first several miles of landfall.
It ain’t gonna to be pretty in the Bahamas.
Ya I do see a lot of small islands out there. Scary stuff.
It’s amazing how quickly some of these storms develop into monsters over warmer water.
225 mph winds is something I am not sure I have seen in a hurricane. Those parts of the Bahamas directly hit will be underwater and obliterated.
the abaco islands in the bahamas are going to be wiped clean
grand bahama is next in line.
due to the slow speed of the storm and the shallow water around teh bahamas its expected to slowly weaken over the next 12-24 hours
Landfall at Elbow Cay on Abaco a short while ago.
At landfall, 185 MPH, 911 MB.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1168198450472730626
Pretty intense ATM
