Yeah but Republicans have underperformed in pretty much every election, regular or special, since then.
Republicans - not Trump - have underperformed in a few special elections, yes.
Contrary to popular thinking, they did not underperform in 2022 midterms. Not a single credible person was actually predicting a âred waveâ.
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Yep. I posted several times when Trump was leading Biden that the lead was widespread but very thin, and people were premature in thinking this was over. I hold the same here. Odds would favor Kamala slightly now, but this is still close and could go either way.
And in battleground states, the Kamala lead appears thinner than Trumps was against Biden.
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You and I both know thatâs not true.
You were demonstrably wrong yesterday beyond a reasonable doubt about the gender make up of North Carolina 2020 Election. I provided three sources you provided nothing but your feelings.
Here you wrongly backed up your point about voter registrations my mistakenly thinking the DNC was the week of July 21st and when showed to be wrong you backpedaled into talking about how bad a candidate you think Kamala is.
I thought you were a math guy?
As for the race, it is a lot more competitive than these arguments with you have been, but Kamala has not lost a news cycle since 7/21 and her âhoneymoonâ is now in WEEK SIX - my honeymoon was two weeks and I felt like that was pretty generous 
Kamala is leading in most of the polls Nationally and in most of the 7 battlegrounds.
Trump has to keep from stepping on his own **** over and over and over again which he doesnât seem capable of doing and he also has to figure out how to deal with a capable, competitive, younger black woman at the debates which is going to be a bear for him.
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Kari Lake lol
But fortunately, heâll be debating the real Kamala, not the one the media has created.
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But honestly. Without the hyperbole directed at either of them.
Structurally, I think Trump will have a hard time figuring out the right tone and energy to debate against a capable, competitive, younger black woman.
I watched the Pence debate. Go back and watch 5 minutes of it. She is not Demosthenes, but she can debate.
The best Trump can hope for is a draw and I donât think that is what he needs.
you provided trash, I pointed out it was trash
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Who gives a â â â â about national polls? sheâs not. The averages are right there for you. If Trump wins the states he is currently leading in, he wins. That could change tomorrow, but it did not change today
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LOL, the debates already started
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not today either⌠math is your friend
thats a really good idea.
Allan
Et tu Rasmussen?
Was Trump +7 the day after Harris announced.
Then Trump +5
Then Trump +4
Then Trump +3
Now Trump +2
Tough month!
When you have lost Rasmussen. Does Newsmax do a poll???
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As we get closer to the election I feel the need to remind people that Rasmussen is an absolutely horrible poll. With mind boggling swings that make no sense. You will see switches of Trump being up 5 to down 6 back to up 3 then down to 4 in a matter of seven days.
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Why would they need to?
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It changed today:
They add one since this morning, yes, it finally changed, and it to Bloomberg to change it. Their polling sucks, generally lot of outliers, but it is in the average, so yes, she is temporarily up.
Electoral Template. Change to 2-way polling. The race has tightened post DNC and polls reflect it. Mostly they remain steady but as older polls drop off Harris average increases.
Contested states (lead is >0 but <4 and leader (over 3 pts) has broken 50% in fewer than 2 polls)
WI: Harris up 1+ has broken 50% in one poll
MI: Harris up 1+ has broken 50% in one poll
PA: Harris up <1 has broken 50% in two polls
GA: Trump up <1 has broken 50% in one poll
AZ: Trump up <1 has broken 50% in one poll
NC: Trump up <1 has broken 50% in one poll
NV: Tie Harris has broken 50% in one poll
Note: Harris has broken 50% in two AZ polls
Note: Harris has broken 50% in one poll in NV
Note: Harris has broken 50% in one poll in GA
Competitive (lead is >3 but <7 and leader (over 6) has broken 50% in fewer than 2 polls)
MN: Harris up 5+ has broken 50% in one poll
VA: Harris up 4 has not broken 50% in any poll
NH: Harris up 5 has broken 50% in three polls.
FL: Trump up 6+ has broken 50% in one poll
Note: MN drops from marginal to competitive
Marginal (lead is >6 but <9 and leader (over 8) has broken 50% in fewer than 3 polls)
OH: Trump up 8+ has broken 50% in two polls
Note: If Harris wins the states where she has a lead and NE2 she wins with 270 EVâs
This is the best explanation of Kamala Harris ever in the Monologue:
Momentum continues.
Honeymoon continues.
This should be over on the morning after the debate.
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