uhmm… no. The polls have been pretty static. Harris has been polling a few points better than Biden was, since the coup. It’s taken this long to affect the average because it hasn’t moved from there. The momentum died a while ago.
You just say anything.
Even using your RCP polling averages, Nationally polls have moved 4-5 points to Harris in a month.
Wall Street Journal ------------- 7/26 Trump +2 ------------ 8/28 Harris +1
Rasmussen ---------------------- 7/24 Trump +7 -------------8/28 Trump +2
Quinnipiac ------------------------ 7/21 Trump +2 -------------8/27 Harris +1
Reuters --------------------------- 7/16 Tied ------------------- 8/28 Harris +4
Morning Consult ----------------7/22 Trump +2 --------------8/28 Harris +4
Again using RCP she has material leads in MI, WI and PA, she is tied in GA and she is within a few tenths in AZ, NV and NC.
If you look at Nate Silver she is down in ALL BATTLEGROUNDS and some are not close.
It is going horribly wrong for MAGA and I expect more 
Kamalamentum!
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- Who gives a ■■■■ about national polling?
- How dishonest do you need to be?
Aug 1st RCP polling average Trump +1.2
Todays average Harris +1.8
The day after Biden dropped out Trump +1.8
At no time since Biden dropped out has it been 4 or 5 points
Why did you start a post that includes math if you don’t understand the math?
Trump was +1.7 in your RCP Average of the Polls 30 days ago. Now he is -1.8. That movement is Harris +3.5.
it is pretty simple.
Not all polls have posted in that period, but if you look at the 5 pretty significant polls I provided the movement is Harris +4.2
And there is similar movement towards Harris in the battlegrounds.
I think you mean the 5 polls you cherry picked to get it as high as you could even including polls from before Biden dropped out to make sure of it.
Very dishonest.
At no time since Biden dropped out has the RCP average of polling swung 4 or 5 points.
These are the numbers directly from RCP.
The five polls I “cherrypicked” are the 5 polls that have data from when Harris announced and from this week.
Don’t call me dishonest when you have been ducking and covering in every debate we have had for the last week on numbers.
You lost. Your boy is losing. Deal with it.
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In the 538 average of polls Harris movement is MORE significant.
In Nate Silver’s analysis of the polls Harris movement is MORE significant.
Even using the selected RCP polls Trump is getting hammered this month.
Bury your head in the sand if you want.
no, there’s not.
AZ: Only 2 polls have repeated since Biden dropped out
Emmerson Trump +5 to Trump +3
Bloomberg Harris +2 to tie
Average Harris gain 0 points
NV: Only 1 poll has repeated
Bloomberg Harris +2 to Harris +4
Average Harris gain 2 points
WI: Two polls have repeated
Emmerson tie to Trump +1
Bloomberg Harris +2 to Harris +8 (This ones an outlier)
Average Harris gain 2.5 points
MI: two polls have repeated
Emmerson Trump +1 to Harris +3
Bloomberg Harris +11 to Harris +3 (outlier)
Average Trump Gain 2 points
PA: Two polls repeated
Emmerson Trump +2 to Tie
Bloomberg Trump +4 to Harris +4 (both look like outliers)
Average Harris gain 5 points
NC: one poll
Bloomberg Trump+2 to Harris +2
Avererage Harris gain 4 points
GA: 2 polls
Emmerson Trump +2 to Harris +1
Bloomberg Tie to Harris +2
Average Harris gain 2.5 points
Average gain in BG states:
0+2+2.5-2+5+4+2.5=14/6= 2.3 points average gain
Math is your friend (well, maybe not yours)
538 is ABC, Nate Silver is a liberal hack from ABC. Trust them at your own risk.
However, just cause I’m a nice guy
Nate Silver (538)
Jul 24th (first day they had polling for Harris)
Harris +0.8
Today
Harris +3.5
Net gain 2.7 (LOL, even less than 3.6— give up on the math thing, it ain’t for you)
Math has been very good to me believe me.
You know RCP is a right wing propaganda site don’t you?
You know nothing about Nate Silver clearly.
Ducking and hiding from every debate we have had.
Your analysis is incomplete, slanted, silly and worthless.
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we haven’t had a debate, you’ve lied, I’ve pointed it out
Just like now
This evil, communist woman will ban free speech:
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Sarcasm? It has to be.
Well their poll numbers aren’t. But their opinion articles on the front page are very much tilted towards the Republicans. They’re a little less right than Fox News, but it’s there. I don’t care because who reads opinion articles?
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I take it back @Ombudsman. For some reason i thought it was. Different site. Go me
there you go again.
3 of the 5 are before joe dropped out
the op eds include both left and right op eds. rates slightly right of center, the same as your left wing hack silver rates left of center. hardly a RW propaganda site
That’s almost exactly what I said. I was literally telling a poster they’re not a right wing propaganda site.
ahhh, I misunderstood. my bad
