Lest we forget these words of wisdom from our leading thinkers.
WildRoseFlyover Country
LucyLou
Your contributions are truly invaluable. Thanks for the wisdom.
Since I seem to have missed it, what is your solution to prevent this from becoming an epidemic in the US?
1 Reply
LucyLouAppreciated
Thanks. It’s not going to be an epidemic here. Anymore than Ebola was.
Your welcome.
I really love these Gems.
At this point in time, based on the available data, this is much more media hysteria than a true emergency. Unless China is completely fabricating the numbers, this particular strain of coronavirus does not appear to be significantly more virulent than typical strain. It does not approach the severity of SARS or MERS and as of now has a transmission rate (R0 to keep it simple) that is somewhat high, but still much lower than SARS.
This could change. It could hit a huge population center, mutate and become more severe/transmissible. China could be drastically underreporting and we already have an emergency. I think both of those are unlikely.
As of now, it’s 99% hysteria and 1% real concern.
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Words of wisdom we should remember for all time.
What facts are you referring to? Here are some real facts.
Mortality rates -
Wuhan coronavirus mortality rate: 4%
SARS coronavirus mortality rate: 10%
MERS coronavirus mortality rate: 30%Transmissibility (R0, higher number is more transmissible) -
Wuhan coronavirus R0: 1.4-2.5
SARS coronavirus R0: 2-5
MERS coronavirus R0: 0.5-1More transmissible than MERS, less transmissible than SARS. Much less deadly than either.
WildRoseFlyover Country
I already laid them out.
That’s genuine concern by global health authorities.
There isn’t enough yet known about this virus to know it’s potential.
The only fact you gave in response to my post was something about travel precautions. What real facts did you lay out?
WildRoseFlyover Country
See above.
15 posts on your part. A link to a Yahoo article and zero facts to back your paranoia. Plenty is known. The entire virus genome has been sequenced. Mortality and reproduction rates have been calculated and are continuing to be updated.
I know science and statistics aren’t going to change your mind. You can continue to ignore them.
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