Whether or not anybody “thinks” votes will be changed is irrelevant. The purpose of debates is to give the electorate a chance to compare and contrast directly from the horse’s mouth.
Of course media involvement has made it ridiculous.
They should have to make their case, get a limited chance to rebut. Not be “guided” by some media personality.
That is true that independents decided the past 2 elections, but, Hillary was declared the winner of all 3 debates. If debates sway voters, then more voters would have shifted towards Clinton. That didn’t happen.
You are correct-according to journalistsreport.org only 29% polled before 2016 debates were influenced. Also this report suggest popular Dem candidates peak viewer interest, where as their Republican opponent not so much. Maybe Trump and his ratings will shift this to being exclusively one party or the other. Take a read…
I read that as well. Has it been ever been an incumbent? I always thought barring a complete disaster they only helped the challenger because it was free publicity.
It’s almost always the challenger because of the incumbency advantage. Often incumbents will just straight up refuse to debate, even after they agreed to it, if they’re winning handily.
Tommy. The only incumbent since the TV debating era commenced in 1960 who refused to debate was then President Nixon in 1972. He also declined to debate as the Republican candidate in 1968 but none of the other two major candidates in Humphrey or Wallace were the incumbent either.
It’s super easy to see in this particular situation. Trump’s numbers are abysmal for an incumbent president. Asking for an extra debate, a month early when the other three are separated by like a week apiece and asking for the moderators to be outright Trump media surrogates? It ain’t hard to tell.
Don’t believe the public polls. Follow the Trump ad money, shows you what their internals is saying. They pulled their ads out of Michigan for a retool, because they weren’t working. They’re running ads in Texas-Texas!-where a Democrat hasn’t won a statewide race in decades. They’re even buying ads in Washington DC, a place where I don’t even think there is a functioning Republican Party, to reassure an audience of one.