52% Approval rating


#64

Uh…

Here’s Rass’s write up following the election. His final polls had Hillary +2.


#65

Yes, in other words, this was a speech bump that will evaporate within a few weeks.


#66

Yep assuming he does what he normally does… which is break promises


#67

Hmmm…how did they fare in the most recent election this past November? :thinking:


#68

All he had to do it just keep being himself, in a plethora of ways.


#69

Yes. Consistently pushing this. Including the Daily Mail article linked in the OP.


#70

Makes sense now.


#71

Yep. He also was telling his listeners to check it out on Drudge. Presumably to make it seem like it wasn’t coming from him when they mention it.


#72

Approval polls are so stupid. They talk to 1,000 people, and then extrapolate it for the whole country as it if means something.


#73

As a single data point, sure. But when taken in total, over established timeframes, accurate trend lines and predictability potential progresses proportionally.


#74

You realize you have said just about every nationwide poll is stupid. That’s about an averagle sample for them all.


#75

And that’s why polls now count. That will change if his numbers go down.


#76

Up from December , down from October. By meaningless amounts. You are really digging here.


#77

It does mean something over time as an aggregate. But cons never seem to grasp this. Hence the op.


#78

Would the OP have started a thread if the approval rating was only 50%?

Me thinks not.

In other words those in the 50% category, for or against, didn’t matter to the OP until that last 2% showed up for Trump. But that 48% that doesn’t approve still doesn’t matter at all.

Ah well, that just mirrors the president.

“What have you done for me lately.”

:laughing:


#79

Every other poll from the past week (and there were several) are 39-42%.


#80

RCP had his average as 42.something this morning. FiveThirtyEight has him at 40.


#81

Weird. Neither of those numbers are like 52 at all.


#82

Maybe I need to squint when I look at them?


#83

Not true. 42 is almost identical to 52. You just add 1 to one of the numbers. So really, being off by 1 is pretty insignificant. Might as well say it’s off by 0 because 0 is only one off from 1 as well. So really it’s exactly the same.