What we probably should have done is not close anything down and just keep large gatherings to a minimum. Because if everyone eventually gets this everything we’ve done is pointless.
Probably should have just closed down movie theatres, sporting events, and any other large indoor gathering and let this thing run its course.
I’d tend to agree here, no need to pillory the guy, he’s doing his best I’m sure.
Way I see it is this way, he may be an expert in infectious diseases but pretty much by definition of the disease, neither he, or anyone else for that matter, is an expert here.
Key words being Novel or “New” Corona virus.
By there own admissions from the start NONE of the “experts” had seen this strain before. That’s also why it got it’s new name or designation, because NONE of them had seen it before.
That’s why it scared the ■■■■ out of ALL of them.
What was effective in the past may/may not be effective here, no way he could be sure. Add in the fact the lies and cover up from the source area hamstrung him and others without a doubt.
They need a year or two to play with this thing to start to figure it out and become “experts”. I bet at least that long by even their own definitions of expert of any given subject.
You think this guy became an expert on AIDS or Ebola overnight?
They are all drawing on past experiences, and making “educated guesses”. Some of their calls will be wrong.
That’s just the nature of the “method of science”, and the practice of medicine.
The capacity for mass testing had never existed prior to this outbreak and couldn’t be accomplished without invoking the National Production Act which was done on March 13th.
The decision was made the day prior when we had fewer than 2,000 cases nationwide. Even with that Democrats objected to the Emergency Declaration and invoking the powers granted under the National Production Act.
The biggest hurdle on expanding testing was our own federal bureaucracy and regulations.
Even under the administration’s emergency powers it still took the CDC and FDA more than a month to get out of the way and start helping rather than hindering the private sector efforts.
The real epidemiologists say that for COVID 19 there needs to be 80 to 90 percent herd immunity for it to be effective. That is 265,000,000 to 297,000,000 people in the US alone. We are currently a 1/2 percentage point there. Think about it. Not even 1 percent of the way to Herd Immunity.
You guys have no idea what herd immunity is going to take. There will be a vaccine or successful treatment before we ever get to natural herd immunity.
Best estimates suggest the actual number of people who have been infected and recovered is more like 20-50x the reported number based on studies out of CA and NY.