It is MOST fortunate for the Conservative Party that they have slightly over 2 years to figure things out.
If the General Election in the United Kingdom were held today, Labour would be looking at approximately 415 seats and the Conservatives would be around 140 seats.
Conservatives have zero shot at victory in the next General Election. They are in too deep a hole.
The best they can hope for is to deny Labour an absolute majority in the next Parliament, but I simply don’t see that happening. They might be able to eat into the margin of a Labour majority, currently predicted at 172 seats, but their chances of denying Labour a majority at this point are about zero.
And it is 100% self inflicted damage.
Hell, Labour is polling above an absolute majority, something unheard of in British politics.
No need to wait two years. Truss can go to the King and request him to dissolve parliament at any time which would trigger a general election.
It is highly unlikely she can survive and a third Prime Minister leading a government that has no mandate from the electorate will not be acceptable. There is no way the Tories can limp on for the next few years.
I still think the first act of a Labour majority, Day 1 in fact, should be the abolition of the House of Lords and replacement with an elected Senate. In addition, there should be a 100% abolition of the non-Royal peerage and nobility, including both hereditary and life peers.
My proposal would be to elect Senators by region using proportional representation with a 5% cutoff. The old European Union regional boundaries would be used, but triple the number of Senators would be elected, to obtain a Senate approximately 1/3 of the size of the House of Commons, not a ridiculous 800+ Lords.
London - 8 seats ------------------------- 24
South West England - 6 seats -------- 18
South East England - 10 seats ------- 30
East of England - 7 seats -------------- 21
West Midlands - 7 seats ---------------- 21
East Midlands - 5 seats ----------------- 15
North West England - 8 seats --------- 24
North East England - 3 seats ----------- 9
Yorkshire and the Humber - 6 seats - 18
Wales - 4 seats --------------------------- 12
Scotland - 6 seats ------------------------ 18
Northern Ireland - 3 seats --------------- 9
Total - 73 seats -------------------------- 219
Note that both the number of Senators from each region and possibly the boundaries of regions could change with each census. The Senate would elect their President and would operate pretty much in the same role of the current Lords, though I would prohibit Government Ministers from coming from the Senate, only from the Commons. The Senate would be able to review and suggest amendments to legislation, but could not block legislation and would have no role in the selection of the Government. It would be able to conduct public oversight of Ministers, however.
She does not want to do that but its looking like she may have no choice. She no longer has the support of her party and the conservatives have lost any legitimacy to govern.
As I write this Graham Brady who is chair of the 1922 committee has been seen going into Downing Street. This is the committee that plays a pivotal role in the selection of a new Conservative Party leader.
You are probably right but Labour need to ratchet up the clamor for an election and push the government in every question time, interview etc as to how they have any credibility to govern?
A fundamental problem for Britain is that the sanctions war is causing a massive energy crisis that is driving inflation, and Labour intends to the continue the same failed policies of the Conservatives.
Given Starmer’s previous responses, it is likely that any protests against the self-imposed energy embargo will be met with severe repression. Beatings will continue until moral improves . . .
