conan
March 1, 2020, 3:04pm
928
Yeah, what it does is it limited interaction with family members that have came into contact with it. Kids can’t play with their cousins, or with other kids out of fear of those kids giving it to parents and grand parents.
It’s more of hassle until they can come up with vaccine.
Because we lead healthier lives, lifestyles, we have stronger immune systems, and Hubei Province is one of the most polluted places on earth.
Cynic
March 1, 2020, 3:09pm
931
When you have untraceable cases popping up across the country with a disease that has a long and infectious incubation period…
You just can’t “stop it”.
That’s right- it’s the long incubation period that makes this virus dangerous. . Even if people are screened at airports, they might still be infected and not get sick until days later.
GWH
March 1, 2020, 3:16pm
933
It’s not locked in China anymore, I doubt it ever really was. I think the best we can hope for is that the mortality rate goes down as it becomes more widespread, and the region it originated is indeed full of one of the poorest health peoples in the world. Two weeks gestation while being transmissible is a long time for people to associate and spread the virus. That’s why there are cases of unknown origin popping up. Wendy’s chili.
1 Like
MoleUK
March 1, 2020, 3:19pm
934
GWH:
It’s not locked in China anymore, I doubt it ever really was. I think the best we can hope for is that the mortality rate goes down as it becomes more widespread, and the region it originated is indeed full of one of the poorest health peoples in the world. Two weeks gestation while being transmissible is a long time for people to associate and spread the virus. That’s why there are cases of unknown origin popping up. Wendy’s chili.
The Italian mortality rate is keeping pace unfortunately. A bit over 1000 cases, 29 dead.
GWH
March 1, 2020, 3:21pm
935
That’s based on known cases. I’m not saying it’s an incorrect stat, but some will get this and think it’s a cold, eat some chicken soup, and rock on.
MoleUK
March 1, 2020, 3:22pm
936
GWH:
That’s based on known cases. I’m not saying it’s right, but some will get this and think it’s a cold, eat some chicken soup, and rock on.
It’s possible, but the rate seems to be holding up elsewhere as well. Think S.Korea was the only odd one out.
MoleUK
March 1, 2020, 3:22pm
938
GWH:
What was their rate?
About 1% last I checked, but their numbers were skyrocketing so it might even out.
Take Hubei Province out of it, and we have about 18,000 cases world wide.
You are right your not going to contain it…but something went on there, that we don’t know yet. Something caused it to be completely out of control there. As I said…i believe it to be pollution. But I don’t know for sure.
MoleUK
March 1, 2020, 3:23pm
940
And there’s the religious aspect in S.Korea which is complicating matters.
MoleUK
March 1, 2020, 3:24pm
941
Konssurvative1:
Take Hubei Province out of it, and we have about 18,000 cases world wide.
You are right your not going to contain it…but something went on there, that we don’t know yet. Something caused it to be completely out of control there. As I said…i believe it to be pollution. But I don’t know for sure.
Health officials in Iran were telling the BBC there are over 200 dead. That’d put the cases in Iran at 20,000 or so+.
GWH
March 1, 2020, 3:27pm
942
Seems to me, they would be extremely accurate in their assessment and reporting. I’m not sure if test kit availability is a factor in this as well. Point is, I’m thinking (hoping) that there are a lot of unreported cases going around skewing the mortality rate. In fact, there’d have to be considering the cases of unknown origin.
GWH
March 1, 2020, 3:28pm
943
I’ll go with that. In which case the mortality rates will decline. But everyone still gets it.
GWH:
Man, this thing incubated in China for two to three months with their government misreporting the data to avoid panic. It started in a city of 11 million people. 90k people have been diagnosed, a number which I think and has been speculated by more than me as a woeful underestimate. During that time, people traveled in and out of that region unaware of any quarantine, because there was none, until January 23. So you have unrestricted travel in and out of Wuhan for a month after the first case was discovered (December 31). The US may have imposed restrictions on travel, but the rest of the world was slow on the uptake as cases broke out…we’ll virtually everywhere.
It is my contention that this thing has been a pandemic for at least two weeks, possibly longer, in that it has traveled the globe unrealized by government officials until clusters start breaking out. Cases of unknown origin is proof of this line of thought. Attempts at quarantine at this point, hell even two weeks ago, is like a dog chasing it’s tail. With the transmission of the virus being possible if asymptomatic, and some not even becoming ill but still carriers, makes it near impossible to quarantine or even track.
This thing is in your back yard. You don’t know it yet, but it just is. This isn’t a call to panic. It’s just reality. Some will get sick, some will die. The effort at this point should definitely be to continue good hygiene, prevent others from being sick. But have no doubt, this virus is going to run through each and every one of us like a bowl of Wendy’s chili. It’s only a question of how long we can stave it off and treat at risk people with a vaccine once developed.
Really good, sober assessment of the situation.
Lets just hope the virus doesn’t mutate further.
tnt
March 1, 2020, 3:38pm
947
conan:
My family is/should be alright, the person that died was one of my nieces patients at Evergreen.
CDC is there and taking all necessary precautions. She been well trained on these matters so is her family.
As my brother said, over 300 million people in this country and 1 person died happens to be her patient.
So yeah…it’s little freaky. Hopefully this virus will be contained until a vaccine is developed…which may not happen until 2021.
Vibes to the patient and your niece and your family - that’s a hard situation.
