That has already been happening in my area. Since 2011, a 200k house has reached about $500k in Zillow. Recent reports I have heard about are that price increases have slowed and are reversing to some extent. A neighbor recently tried to sell their house for $500k but after months and no offers sold for $350k. Far different from a few years ago when a neighbor received multiple offers and sold for more than the original asking.
No statistics, but anecdotes.
Maybe the gov’t should put itselfin the businss of protecting Crypto prices.
You know. . . . if the gov’t should be dictating prices, dictating winners and dictating losers why not do it in a way that wilhelp the future instead of providing more welfare for the past.
Or throw billions of dollars at the issue as Kamala was talking about doing. Does anyone (with 1/2 a brain) believe that was going to make houses more affordable?
Oh, so if I were advising the President: "Boss, here is a list of things you can do to keep home prices high: . . "
They would fall into two categories
1.) Subsidize Demand
Direct agencies you oversee (Fannie, Freddid etc.) to buy MBS
Direct the agencies you oversee partially (Soc Sec etc) to buy MBS
Direct other funds at your disposal to support
—> “first-time buyer” programs,
—>“veterans housing benefits”, etc.
Add conditions to federal aid to states and cities that will reward those states and cities that provide aggressive “first-time buyer” programs
2.) Minimize supply
Declare an “environmental protection package” that makes building a new home even more restricted/difficult. Esp regarding land use (zoning) and well/sewer requirements as well as flood zone and wetlands requreiments
Enlarge or expand programs that “allow grandma to keep her home.”
So. . . . if $1.4 T plus stimmie checks caused home prices to rise 40%,
a much smaller amount of each could (potentially) keep the bubble from popping until the next election.
Stimmie checks allowed a ton of wanna be homeowners to buy homes once the Fed had driven interest rates down WAY below free market levels (via buying MBS)
Of course, if someone had ZERO savings, the stimmie check was not enough for adown payment plus closing costs.
But, the stimmie checks tottaled $11,400, for a two-income family with 2 kids
and that turns a LOT of “tomorrow buyers” into “today buyers.”
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The obvious problem arises because “tomorrow” there are suddenly FEWER buyers than usual, plus rates are starting to return to normal.
As I am sure you are aware, the following is as unavoidable as gravity:
If home prices or stock prices or whatever rise because people become more productive (like we return to the 40-hour work week or return to two-parent two-income families), then that sort of price increase can be sustained.
If home prices or stock prices or whatever rose because the gov’t converted some “tomorrow buyers” into " today buyers," then the price increase cannot be sustained.
Not all of economics is like physics, but this part is.