RCP now has Biden up by 5 points. But I believe that Florida is going to be closer. And Biden is going to have to win Duval County and win Miami-Dade County by at least 25 points if he is going to win Florida.
In Maine, Gideon is up 4.5 points over Collins according to RCP. Trump Republicans don’t like Collins, because she voted against repealing Obamacare and voted against Trump’s unconstitutional national emergency. Progressives don’t like her mainly because of her vote to confirm Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court. Progressives around the country have been donating a lot of money to Gideon. If I was in Maine, I would vote for Collins. But I live over 2,000 miles from Maine, and I believe that Collins is going to lose to Gideon.
Honestly, GA is a bad sign for Trump. +3 puts GA within the margin of error. Historically, Dems don’t even spend money in GA because it’s assumed a Republican will win. That has changed this year. Trump may very well still win it, but the fact that he’s having to spend money here is problematic
That certainly seems to be the case. The last governor’s race was about as close as I’ve seen here. I know a lot of people wouldn’t vote for Kemp because they thought he’d be a Trump lackey. Turns out during the reopening process he proved to be even nuttier than Trump. And that’s quite a feat.