In this article the top eight are held by Dems:
WV, is virtually a lock, which is number 1, then they have Montana and Ohio.
Again, still sticking with a bottom line of the parties switching control of each House.
On the Senate side.
Arizona - Democrat gain from Independent
Ohio - Republican gain from Democrat
West Virginia - Republican gain from Democrat
Most likely, Republicans will nab at least one or possibly two or three more seats, most likely Montana. Possibly knock off Casey in Pennsylvania and if they have a bit of luck, maybe take Wisconsin as well.
Projection would be a Republican Senate of either 52-48, 53-47 or 54-46.
But again, they will likely simultaneously lose the House.
Manchin is retiring?
Not that I have heard.
Wondering why WV would flip then. @Eagle-Keeper
Republicans are going to have a first class candidate for the election and Biden is really dragging Manchin down.
Huh. Iâm behind the times then. I thought Manchin was golden.
Pray tell, how?
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Itâs the NUMBER 1 seat most likely to flip in this article and every other one Iâve seen. Even if Manchin runs heâs almost certainly going to lose.
Mixed emotions. Heâs Dino and a jerk. But I hate to lose that seat.
If the concerns about the open border destroying the rest of the country as it is in NY continues to become a more concerning issue with the voter then the Republicans can do very well.
I think Manchin knows his days as a WV senator are numbered, thatâs likely why he is considering running for President under the NO Labels ticket.
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That claim is moot. If the end of term never-Trumpers, who have been working against the interests of the GoP grass roots and are political elite puppets for big donor lobbyists are successfully exposed as such and blamed for the stalling of the MAGA momentum through opposing Jordan as speaker and primaried out of their senate seats, that may convince voters that voting Republican this would actually produce a populist Senate and those ex-RINO senate seats wpuld be filled with MAGA candidates with even greater majorities. And centrist left constituents may,with more confidence of real change in the direction of the Senates policies, move their votes from the pro-elitist Democratic Socialist to populist Republican
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Well I was asking safiel how he thought the Republicans were going to take the Wisconsin Senate Seat. Seeing as how they donât even have a candidate and all the possibles swore off a Senate run months ago.
Didnât get back to you on that, lemme reply shortly. 
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The Manchin legacy:
âThe Democratic West Virginia senator Joe Manchin marked the first anniversary of a major US climate crisis law he helped pass by saying he would mount an âunrelenting fight against the Biden administrationâs efforts to implement the IRA as a radical climate agendaâ.
Who wouldnât vote for that?
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As I said in the post, a bit of luck is involved.
They COULD get a late quality candidate commitment and if they do, they have a shot, although Baldwin clearly has the advantage.
Not entirely out of the question that a frustrated Republican Representative might quite the cluster â â â â â â House of Representatives to try for the Senate.
And candidates HAVE flip flopped after declining to run in the past.
Lets put it this way, we are â â â â â â if politicians keep doing what they are doing⌠Many numbskulls filling seats in the Senate (and the House) do not give a â â â â about the American people. Open borders may have already allowed sleeper cells (of bad acters) into our countrey. We have budget issues that once again headed down tracks on the runaway train . Our foreign policy is terrible and the threat of war is on the horizon . The senates constitutional powers include; proposing legislation, drafting or amending bills, filibuster(delay or block legislation via prolonged debate), oversight of the federal budget, and the executive branch by approving or rejecting presidential appointees for agencies. Chuckie Schumer and the gang have not done their job in years. Politicans get rich on the taxpayers dime and are raping our system.
Yep i am totally disappointed on how many politicans are doing (their job.)
No the state Republican House members enjoy their very very very safe House seats too much to give them up for a failed run against Tammy. They have all publicly declined. Well not Derrick Van Orden that clown hasnât declined yet, but nobodyâs asked him either 
In the end, it does not make a great deal of difference.
There will be a Republican Senate and a Democratic House regardless of how the details pan out.
