It’s finally here.
I recommend copious amounts of alcohol over the next 18-24 hours. Personally, I’m going with Auchentoshan Three Wood single malt scotch. If things go south, I have a reserve of imperial stouts that will get me to the finish line.
These articles have a handy list of which polls close and when. The first big races to get results will be Indiana’s Senate seat, where Donnelly is favored to win, but could be an early bellwether race. Kentucky’s 6th congressional district will also return early, which contains Lexington and if it goes blue would be a great sign for Democrats. A GOP win here would need to be by double digits to be a good sign for them.
By 7:30 ET we will start getting West Virginia results. In essence the first two Senate races will test the Blue Dog strategy. There’s not much to say if Donnelly and Manchin win, but if they lose, it could be a wipe out in the Senate.
By 8:00 ET, results will be steady for the rest of the night. I would recommend drinking no more than 20% of what you hoped to consume by this point in the night.
Michael Scarn’s final predictions:
Dems win 237 House seats
GOP holds the Senate and picks up 2 Seats (ND, NV, MO, FL) and lose Texas.
Andrew Gillum wins the FL Gubernatorial race, as does Stacey Abrams, and the narrative of the night will be the “new liberal”, where Democrats are allowed to be progressive.