Popular vote outcome prediction?

To me it’s a nice compromise between the two extremes. It lessons the amount of shafting certain parts of the electorate get but still keeps the states in the loop for the election.

How is Trumps way easier? All she has to do is hold on to traditionally Democrat PA, WI and MI. If she loses either WI or MI. Then she has to take traditionally Republican NC, GA or AZ. But only if she loses one.

Of the 7 states that are close only NC, GA and AZ are traditionally Republican. If he holds those, he still has to win a traditionally democrat state to win, and it can’t be NV unless he also wins NE2

how would that be any different to just popular vote?

No

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using today’s 7 day rolling average of polls from 270 and applying the 2/3 rule for the challenger for undecideds gives a result of…

Harris 48.53 Trump 48.47 other 3%

RCP:
Harris 48.5 Trump 48.5 Other 3%

538:
Harris 48.63 Trump 48.37 Other 3%

Silver:
Harris 48.96 Trump 48.03 Other 3%

The Hill

Harris 48.9 Trump 48.1 Other 3%

My guess? Harris wins the popular vote by around 750K votes

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Biden won popular vote by 7 million. Harris will get 10x less? :rofl:

and your analysis that she will win 52% is fever dreams. For her to win 52% given 3% will be going to “Other” she would need to beat Trump 52-45. Ain’t happening. She won’t even get to 50%

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Definitely Trump. Who doesn’t even understand what the Constitution is. Harris…we’ll see. I do though get annoyed at the absolute exultation and deification of the founding fathers. They were just people. Some good, some bad, some ■■■■■■■■■ some braggarts, some rapists, some slave owners, some drunkards some cowards, some amazing, some enlightened, some brilliant, some genius, some insane…They were people. There were the equivalents among them of our current crops of political figures. But 250 years warps things.

The states are still in the process and controlling it.

As of right now, in states like California and Mississippi, 40% of their population’s votes are literally worthless.

I mean… she might lose it.

I think Trump feels he has the EC wrapped. He wants to win popular vote so he is campaigning in states he knows he can’t win just for the votes.

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Uhm…no. Almost all of his stops are the swing states. And then oddly Texas?

He’s still hitting up the battlegrounds, though.
It was just announced that he’s doing a rally in Green Bay with Brett Favre.

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He went to Colorado and plans to hold a rally at Madison square garden. I suspect it is correct that he would like to take the popular vote to avoid that criticism from last time. “Not my President” sort of thing.

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Think he could actually pull that off? Winning the EC is one thing and he’s strong. But winning the popular vote, not that it matters ultimately, would probably be an uphill battle for him.

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Trump looks like he’s lost some weight.

i dunno if that photo is current

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Almost is the key word. There is no reason to campaign in NY or CA but he is doing it. I didn’t say he gave campaigning in the swing stars.

So by that logic Harris is going to be in Texas with Beyonce because she thinks she has the electoral count sewn up and wants to run up the popular vote win?

No she is delusional because she like other libs on this board thinks it is in play. Stop playing stupid. It is also more about beating Cruz. TX isn’t anything near a lock that CA is.

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