Liberation Day! ADP Jobs Report Celebrates . . . . . + 21,000 manufacturing jobs

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How long will it take to reopen the mill?

We are the second largest producer of goods in the world. Our industry isn’t shut down. It;s stronger than it’s ever been.

But what I think realistically is going to happen is, all the things in Walmart and Home Depot and Best Buy etc
are going to rise in price, slowing consumption.

That is goign to result in job loses - the people that unload the ships, drive the trucks to the stores, design the tee shirts and tools, design the packaging, stock the shelves, do the advertising, maintain the stores..and alot of these are very good paying american jobs
many of them wil lose their jobs.

And the next president will be left with the bag, and have to clean up the mess.

I think this is going to be a 2008 level recession.

Probably not long, if equipment is there and not stolen or scraped for metal.

Those old saws were made in America. They still run. :wink:

I expect them too, how much is yet to be determine.

Lot of neighborhoods and rural areas could use those manufacturing jobs.

Unemployment is 4.1%

How many do blanket tariffs? How many make up some random formula to do it?

I guess you haven’t traveled through those areas lately. Millions of people aren’t counted
millions.

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Amazing.

The formula isn’t random. Here’s the question(s): Why is it ok for other countries to impose tarrifs on the US, but bad for us to impose tarrifs on those same countries? We have a trade imbalance with countries around the world in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Why do you feel this is fair and ought to continue? Since it’s a fact that US manufacturing is a fraction of what it was a few decades ago- for example, pick up almost anything off the shelf of almost anyplace you happen to be and see where it’s made. Entire cities- like Detroit, used to prosperous due to the auto industry, or cities in Pennsylvania because of steel. What happened to our industry, why can’t it come back? Lots here to think about so I’ll pose these questions to everyone in this thread


And perhaps most important- with so much of the important things we need being made by other countries, do you not see the need to bring them back here so we are not dependent on other countries for our needs?

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They can tax their citizens all they want to. Why should we care? We aren’t paying their tariffs. They are.

Is having a monetary trade imbalance always considered unfair?

They lost their factories due to capitalism and advancement’s in the US economy.

Good Lord
 Do you ever stop to think before you post?

So according to you: 1)governments only impose tarrifs on other countries as a nefarious way to tax their own citizens without them being the wiser. 2) operating at a perpetual loss to virtually other party you do business with is smart policy for companies or in this case, our country, to operate. 3)The same capitalism that made our country a superpower that turned the tide in 2 world wars and rebuilt the defeated nations, is the same system that decimated cities like Detroit and put us at a disadvantage around the world.

I don’t know why I bother trying to have a serious discussion with you.

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No the lagging thing absolutely matters.

Even more than the leading thing because the lagging thing can truly be tied (sometimes) to cause and effect.

A persons might suggest
Jobs don’t really matter, wages don’t really matter, income disparity does not really matter . . . all those things are just stupid little cause or effects of the one thing that does matter: How many tattoos and nose piercings do people get (consumption.)

Consumption drives those things and stems from those things consumption is the center of the economic universe. Consumption is the hub and everything else is just a spoke.

In fact many people do hold that that view, some professors even teach it in college. They and their view are completely and totally wrong.

I said nothing of nefarious.

I just talked about the end result. Those countries citizens end up paying for their own tariffs. Why should I care how much they tax their citizens?

You apparently didn’t understand my question

Yes.

Disadvantage? How?

The fall of Detroit was inevitable, with or without capitalism. But what hinders us now is not capitalism more nearly the opposite is true.

Nancy Pelosi in 1996 endorsing tariffs against China to address unfair trade practices and and the resulting imbalance of trade.

Screenshot:

some people will sell out what they now is right.
will sell out the American people
Just to score a few cheap points against the other party.

Those people are dishonest. Those people disgust me.
Video:

Why are you railing about this?

Did I say any of these things?

How about the jobs report. Good news?

You said employment is just an indicator and it lags the thing that truly matters.

I pointed out that many people believe things like that.
I wrote

"A persons might suggest
Jobs don’t really matter . . .

This is really starting to get tedious.

No one here
literally no one here (that I know of) has ever said we should have zero tariffs, or that tariffs have no place in any trade/economic policy.

There are a HUGE variety of options between having absolutely no tariffs at all and Trump’s “trade deficits are ALWAYS bad, so let’s base our tariffs on a ratio of trade deficit to export value until trade evens out” blasting of every nation on Earth policy.

The goal isn’t and shouldn’t be “leveling the playing field”
i.e. basing our decisions solely on the trade imbalance.

If the goal is “we want to reinvigorate our manufacturing capability”, e should be figuring out how to do that without wrecking the global economy because we’ve got this mixed up with some political idea of “punishing those that have been ‘ripping us off’”.

This is where Trump’s penchant for viewing every negotiation with a distributive (“winners and losers”) lens is going to be completely counterproductive to any goal of lifting up the “American worker” (assuming this truly is Trump’s goal
I don’t think it is, but for argument’s sake
)

This isn’t the insular New York City real estate world anymore.

There are multiple players with multiple motivations and needs, and no one nation is indispensible
not even the United States.

The world does not “owe us” anything.

The postwar world was the way it was because WE wanted it that way.

As we transition away from that world, we can’t assume that we have the power to dictate to other nations what they will do. We aren’t in the driver’s seat.

We keep that up and we WILL find out what “America Alone” really looks like.

Now- if people want to have a serious discussion, stop assigning motives and positions to people they don’t hold.

And stop looking at this discussion like it’s a binary thing.