Above are the classic and new experimental NHC cones. The new cone gives the expected extent of hurricane force and tropical storm force damage inland.
Possibly a Category 4 with 140 MPH winds at landfall. Pretty much a perfect environment for this storm to grow.
Interestingly, I am only about 50 miles outside the tropical storm impact area, though we are looking at 5 or more inches of rain and flash floods in this area. Thankfully, my place sits literally on the edge of watershed, so everything flows downhill from here.
The track actually takes it just west of the City of Tallahassee, which means that Tallahassee will bear the heaviest brunt of the storm on the east side.
Now projected to reach Atlanta as a Tropical Storm.
They have upped the rain forecast to about 8 inches in my area. Thankfully, I can watch it flow downhill to be somebody else’s problem.
All of southwest Florida is in the tropical storm wind field. Looks like southeast Florida is just going to get brushed or miss the tropical storm wind field altogether.
But it is a huge wind field. Looks like it will catch the Orlando area in about another hour or two.
I’m in North GA directly in the path of Helene, but it is predicted to be a tropical storm with 50 - 70 mph winds by the time it gets here. Fortunately, there are now rivers or anything close to me - there will be a lot of rain and flooding. The biggest concern here is massive power outages from trees and power lines being blown down - they are talking like it may run into the hundreds of thousands.
Only pro wranglers should get close to these buggers. Dumbasses who walk their dogs too close to a lake or canal not paying attention sometimes have an unfortunate encounter. There have been small children taken, the Gator doesn’t eat right away it grabs prey, drowns it then feasts later. They’ll occasionally stroll across a fairway and golfers try shooing them off Gator isn’t impressed. Prehistoric animal, kinda fascinating.
For anybody who understands weather patterns. How does it turn left like that over the continental us. I don’t think i have ever seen that before. I could be wrong though but it feels like they always go east
I was looking at the surface map (i.e. the one with fronts and high and low pressure centers). Unusual lack of high pressure in the eastern United States, which is what normally steers the storms rapidly to the northeast. Instead, there is an approaching cold front, which is what is drawing this storm slightly to the northwest.
I’m on the SW Coast.
