Mark Zandi said that in October 2019. Here’s what he says now:
““The winner is Joe Biden. The [former] vice president beats Donald Trump, but it’s not a slam dunk,” he said. “So despite everything, despite double-digit unemployment, it’s still going to be a close election, at least according to our modeling.””
And he says this now:
"The next update of the Moody’s model, he said, will show Biden defeating Trump 279 to 259 — a win, but hardly a blowout, even despite the potential for mass joblessness on Election Day.
The relatively narrow margin, Zandi says, is because of a few factors working in Trump’s favor: He’s an incumbent, his base is sticking with him and the Electoral College favors him."
“In an alternate reality where Clinton is president, they are currently on their 11th Senate hearing investigating why 300 Americans have died from COVID-19.”