conan
21
2 states with opposite solutions. One closed everything down while other state kept open.
Both states has similar population.
Fla and NY
SixFoot
22
Not yet anyway. You’re also concentrating on just the one virus. No telling how many people with AIDS caught your common cold, or how many seniors died from your influenza.
SixFoot
23
Not that you know of, that is. Denial is good though.
tnt
24
True, there is no telling.
What is the point of this observation?
WuWei
25
Last month? How many people have tested positive in the last month?
SixFoot
26
The point was what you initially got triggered by:
WuWei
27
We aren’t being honest about all this. Just rationalizations and confirmation bias all over the place.
2 Likes
WCD9973
28
I include the link. 80% if the 10 worse states right now are Republican Gov (one is a dem gov in a red state)
The 10 best states are 80% blue (and the 3 Republican Govonors are pretty liberal Republicans)
I know, more just Random luck.
WuWei
29
What metric are you using, it’s certainly not new cases.
Is Texas on your list?
Camp
30
Looks like it did not matter at all.
Outcome is strikingly similar.
FL should be the hardest hit state with the oldest population.
1 Like
WCD9973
31
I sent the link
I’m using positive rate, which is the best metric to use according to the WHO and CDC.
7 day positive rate
3rd post in this thread
Did you look at the chart of NJ in the OP and my analysis? Where would you say my bias was?
WuWei
33
Positive rate is a metric of testing, not spread. It is also a lagging indicator. All it estimates is if you are doing sufficient testing.
WuWei
34
Yes. I mean “we” as a country.
WuWei
35
You can get on an airplane and everyone removes masks when the food is served.
Outdoor dining is banned in LA.
2 Likes
WCD9973
36
Ok. How About cases per 100,000
Same result. 80% of top 10 (and 11 of top 13) are Red and 8 of bottom 10 are blue.
Just random luck right?
Florida has a much higher rate of infection than Florida, way more cases and way less testing.
Positively rate is much higher.
Allan
WuWei
38
How about new cases? Isn’t that what’s caused the panic? How about deaths?
You want to go down another level?
WCD9973
39
I linked it. Did you miss it?
Maybe you didn’t read the link
That was new cases per 100,000 over last 7 days.
80% of the hardest hit states are Red. 80% if the best states are blue.
Regardless if you look at avg positive rate over last 7 days or new cases per 100,000 over last 7 days it’s the same
But I’m sure it’s just random luck
WuWei
40
Not “per 100,000”. Why are you trying to adjust for population?
I don’t know about the rest of those states, in Texas the dem enclaves are where the spikes are.
Yeah, the state is red. Houston, Dallas, San Antonio, El Paso are not.