Electoral college predictions

And Clinton took CA by 30.

28.8…

my map

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WHOOPS!!
That should be IA, not IL.

The numbers that I am looking at are:

CA
Clinton: 8,753,788 = 61.73%
Trump: 4,483,810 = 31.62%
Diff: 4,269,978 = 30.11%

Biden should win CA comfortably by at least 35.

Hard to pin down Iowa and Florida, so leaving them up in the air. Won’t matter anyway in the Presidential race, though the Iowa Senatorial race will definitely matter.

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Isn’t Georgia trending Trump?

There sure are a lot of predictions where Trump doesn’t break 200.

Yes, that further confirms my statement for popular vote gap being larger than it was 4 years ago.

It should indicate an easy win for Biden. However I am not that confident. If somehow that popular vote gap grows but Biden loses… say goodbye to the current electoral system.

As I said in another thread…libs have this in the bag.

Prepared the fireworks/celebrations.

…and the bricks and the torches.

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Yes…I understand California and Northeast should rule over the Flyover country.

Sorry…electoral system is working just perfectly.

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RCP average today is Biden +0.4%
Three polls for Biden, two for Trump and one has a tie.

Trump took the state by over 5 points. So being a toss-up this year is telling.
And Purdue has lost his lead in the Senate. RCP average today has Ossoff up +0.2.

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Yeah, and we said that in 2016. At least this year you don’t hear any Democrats being confident. Which is a good thing seeing how many folks stayed home four years ago. Remember back in 2012 when there were multiple folks went on Fox News and said that Romney was going to win in a landslide? I said at the time they were making a big mistake. I have always agreed with the saying that you always run like your ten points behind.

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I guess you haven’t been reading what your kin are saying here.

Just go back to what they’re saying here.

They all have Biden for pres in the bag.

Want to check out other threads and see what libs are saying?

Your kin?

That wouldn’t happen under a popular vote system

A Trump vote in Oklahoma would count the same as a Trump vote in California. Both voters are voting for the same Trump.

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I’m not in a good enough state of mind to start making predictions. My hopes for the evening have Biden winning PA, MI, WI, MN and then AZ. That will be enough to put him over. If Biden is able to pull PA and NC early in the evening, it should be smooth sailing the rest of the night.

Pretty sure if CA and NY were overwhelmingly conservative and for that matter the demographic country wide were flip flopped, the discussion of doing away with the electoral college would not be taking place among libs.