CNN poll: Biden +4

Politics
41

You do know Biden talks every day right? That he does interviews and statements. Does segments for local broadcasters. Talks to the press. You realize that happens every day right?

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42

CNN will just adjust by polling an even bigger percentage of libs. :roll_eyes:

43

why did o’biden open concentration camps?

44

i opened a poll at rcp today on PA (marist i think). it showed biden up 54-46. an 8 pt advantage.

it polled 46% D 37% R and 17% I.

well… duh

45

There are more Americans registered as Democrats than Republicans. RCP now has Biden 6.4 points over Trump in PA.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_biden-6861.html

46

That makes sense…it’s D48-R38-I13 - that’s based on state registration data from May 2018.

https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/registering-by-party-where-the-democrats-and-republicans-are-ahead/

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47

and it ain’t 46/37/17

48

Marist is a very highly rated pollster

Besides, Rik Smits played for them.

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49

We’ll see.

50

also possible.

51

UNSKEW THE POLLS!

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52

We have already seen.

53

We’ll see.

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54

clrkvgoj7vbfxbyd51sv

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55

I don’t see any PA polls from Marist at RCP.

56

I always look forward to this time every two years, when people who know absolutely nothing about polling and statistics… pretend that they do.

57

Looking a bit deeper into the poll’s numbers shows where the movement is

Across 15 battleground states, the survey finds Biden has the backing of 49% of registered voters, while Trump lands at 48%.
The movement in the poll among voters nationwide since June is concentrated among men (they split about evenly in June, but now 56% back Trump, 40% Biden), those between the ages of 35 and 64 (they tilt toward Trump now, but were Biden-leaning in June) and independents (in June, Biden held a 52% to 41% lead, but now it’s a near even 46% Biden to 45% Trump divide).

Trump has also solidified his partisans since June. While 8% of Republicans or Republican-leaning independents in June said they would back Biden, that figure now stands at just 4%. And the President has boosted his backing among conservatives from 76% to 85%.

58

Marist didn’t have a poll from pa recently.

Allan

59

Well believe me, if they did, they’d oversample libs.

60

The Marist polls lean Republican 0.3%

Basically they know how to poll and get most races right.

Allan