Totally partisan take:
If Trump loses and fails to reverse the election, I guess it’s possible that the GOP sticks with him and he runs again in 2028. Very unlikely, given his legal troubles and electoral failures. If they want to tunnel deeper into that squalid rabbit hole, great: This version of the party has no way to go but down.
But I hope the Republicans try to move on.
Do they understand him at all? Does anyone think he’ll say, “Well, the people have spoken. It’s been a privilege to represent the Republican Party. I shall gracefully bow out”? Trump’s body is where magnanimity goes to die. Viscerally, he cannot sit with loss.
So he’s going to need scapegoats, and if the GOP goes cold on him and starts to disengage, Trump’s stubby finger will be pointed in the right’s direction. RINOs. Some other subset. Whatever. He doesn’t give a ■■■■ about the Republican Party, except as it serves him. And it’s been a good resource with his daughter co-chairing it. He will absolutely expect GOP support to continue throughout his various trials.
If Republicans try to pivot from him, he’s going to feel insulted and subordinated. After all I did for the party? Got Roe overturned? Showed them how to win? Beautiful tax cuts? Two assassination attempts? No one ever did more for the Republicans. The Party was dead. I saved it. It will fail without me.
Then, he’ll spend every calorie of his energy trying to undermine any successor.
How many MAGA ride or die supporters does he need to keep to ■■■■ over the GOP? How much chaos can he create with lies, lawsuits, crazy personal attacks, grifts, and the rest of his cheesy moves? What kind of shady bad actors will be funding him? Best case: He killdozes the party. The earth gets salted.
Obviously, some other coalition could coalesce into another opposition party, as the Republicans or another name. To return to the claim in the OP, I don’t want a one-party state; I just want something approximating a one-shared-empirical-reality state.
Thanks for coming to my TEDTalk, which also describes the only present on my Xmas list.