A Scenario for the End of Trump's Presidency?

[ImRightYoureWrong]

@lulubee

I don’t see a group of R leaders doing what Goldwater did. They are too scared of the base.

The CEC is more powerful than them

[Blackwolf]

I read the article, and it’s impossible to speculate how well informed this guy is. But I have a hard time seeing Senate Republicans moving on impeachment unless Donald’s base abandons him. So long as he keeps them placated the GOP is essentially like Ted Cruz - neutered by Donald.

[LucyLou]

@ImRightYoureWrong

The CEC is more powerful than them

“The base” does not pay the bills.

[DOLOOP]

@Apocalypto

@lulubee

But, he will lose and then immediately resign. Pence will serve out his term and pardon him.

Resign after losing the election on November 2020?

That is the best outcome. Resign after getting the electoral ■■■■ kicked out of him. Repudiated. Embarrassed. Mondale-level ass kicking.

America needs to get rid of him, not America’s institutions.

Then extradite his sorry ass to New York.

[FloridaYankee]

@lulubee

I know what happened with Watergate. I lived through every minute of it.

I don’t see a group of R leaders doing what Goldwater did. They are too scared of the base.

I’m disagree with you on the number of hearings - there are just too many crimes for so few hearings. It will be a long process.

The good news is that the D’s can walk and chew gum at the same time so their agenda won’t have to take a back seat to the hearings.

They only need nineteen republicans to flip out of fifty three… Sounds plausible to me.

[Snow96]

@PurpnGold

He is a criminal… you think that is great?

Please link to what he has been convicted with . . . or even charged with.

Thanks in advance.

[BillBrown]

Conviction in the Senate depends on what the polls say, at the time. Senators will vote the way they think will keep them in office.
Trump doesn’t need Pence to pardon him. He can pardon himself.

[Plasmaball]

You seriously gonna play this weak game?

Lol…

One theory is a soft exit. Mueller goes to to trump and says you resign and we dont charge you.

[H_Arendt]

The CEC is more powerful than them

The CEC has no power; it does have influence with the base and with Republican politicians. A group with real power would not be vulnerable to advertiser boycotts… the Koch Brothers and Sheldon Adelson have that sort of power.

The main influence the CEC wields over Republican politicians is the threat of organizing opponents in primaries. If Republicans start to believe they are at a disadvantage in the general election, fear of primaries will drop.

[Smyrna]

@H_Arendt

Robert Reich reports a conversation with a Republican Congressman who describes how mainstream Republican opposition to tariffs, isolationism and chaos will soon lead to President Trump being the first President to be removed from office by the Senate following impeachment.

I’d be curious if people find this plausible and, if you do, what scenarios should the President use to protect himself.

I know that Trump supporters will want to express their disapproval and Trump opponents will want to express their support… but please hold back from stating the obvious.

My questions are: Is this credible and what might happen next?

Yeah…it isn’t right that we place tariffs on products from countries that place tariffs on ours or receive special incentives from their government that never allows for actual free trade.

[H_Arendt]

“One theory is a soft exit. Mueller goes to to trump and says you resign and we dont charge you.”

Do you think a man with an entire career of going by the book like Robert Mueller would break precedent and try to indict a sitting President? I find that doubtful.

[LucyLou]

@Snow96

Please link to what he has been convicted with . . . or even charged with.

Thanks in advance.

Republican Media and Hillary Clinton.

[Chris]

If Trump is the 2020 GOP Nominee, the Republicans will likely lose the Senate.

[Chris]

@LucyLou

Republican Media and Hillary Clinton.

Yep, Republican media has already indicted and convicted Hillary.

[Apocalypto]

Benghazi
E-mail server
Uranium One
Clinton Foundation

I’m I missing any?

[H_Arendt]

Regardless of who is the nominee, the Republicans face a very tough Senate map in 2020, defending enough seats in blue states that it will be hard for the Republicans to maintain a majority. This is the reverse of the electoral map this year, which placed the Democrats at a disadvantage.

The hope for Republicans is that the Democrats will come with a candidate so deeply flawed (let’s imagine some synthesis of Michael Dukakis and Hillary Clinton for a moment) who manages to depress Democratic turnout to Republican advantage.

Trump, since his inauguration has turned into something of a Democratic turnout machine; to the disadvantage of Republicans.

[H_Arendt]

@Smyrna

Yeah…it isn’t right that we place tariffs on products from countries that place tariffs on ours or receive special incentives from their government that never allows for actual free trade.

Good point, but I think the point in Reich’s article is that the primary funders of the Republican Party disagree with you and are more drawn to maximizing corporate profits than maximizing what is right.

My question to you is how do tit-for-tat tariffs solve anything? The US can raise tariffs on goods from other countries, but those countries can raise their tariffs right back. How do you gain anything when your tools are no more powerful than your opponents?

[Smyrna]

@H_Arendt

My question to you is how do tit-for-tat tariffs solve anything? The US can raise tariffs on goods from other countries, but those countries can raise their tariffs right back. How do you gain anything when your tools are no more powerful than your opponents?

…cuz “we” have a larger economy than the “opponents” who depend more on us, than us on them.

[Casper_the_ghost]

He could live in Switzerland like Marc Rich did or even Brazil like Joe Conforte did

[H_Arendt]

Is it only size? The Chinese stopped buying US soybeans and shifted all the purchases to Russia. How do you counter that?

Here’s my question. President Trump said that trade wars were easy to win when he started this one. Can you cite an example of an easily won successful trade war?