What I Believe About Our Response to the Epidemic

I would add to the focus:

  • Better protection for those in the most critical jobs (e.g. food supply chain).

Ideally we should have better protection for everyone, but with recent reports of meat and poultry packing plant closures there has started to be panic buying of those products.
I read an article that hundreds of thousands, if not millions of animals are/will be euthanized because the capacity for processing has diminished. That’s tragic all around.

In the Scientific community, theories are results of tests and observation. They are not “guesses” but tested accounts of the natural world.

Gravity is a theory, for instance.

Great point. Sometimes we learn we didn’t understand criticality like we thought we did. I came to an epiphany a couple of years ago. I assumed I understood which part of the operation had the most risk. I did, but only from my context. When the incident happened, it took me about 3 seconds to realize my context wasn’t the primary one to look through.

Very eye opening.

This, in my opinion, is one of the problems with the ruling class.

Why is that? What about viruses that allows one to penetrate through the mask while other one can’t? Size of virus? Fluid etc.

This is what I thought the plan was. To prevent overwhelming the system which results tens if not hundreds of thousand more deaths.

This episode has been an important reminder of how thin the veneer of “civilization” is.
Early on there was the panic buying of toilet paper and paper towels, not to mention cleaning supplies and guns/ammo which was more understandable.
If we have a real, sustained and significant disruption to the food supply, well, hoo boy.

Precisely, for every action there is reaction and unintended consequences. I wonder how many times I’ve said that over the years here. :thinking:

That’s the theory. :rofl:

Actually, that is the claim. The cries for ventilators were not based on tests and observations. The calls for cleaning surfaces. The 6’ rule.

It was mentioned earlier about being unable to admit we don’t know. “Scientists” have the same problem. They always start off with, “With the data available…” never “You know what, even if we collect data for the next 100 years, we just won’t know. We’re going to go with this until it doesn’t work.”

We have been conditioned to believe if we just get one more byte, we’ll figure out “The Answer.” Sometimes there is no The Answer.

A lot of it is just a guess, sometimes educated.

Maybe an analysis of competing hypothesis would be of more use. Very difficult to do, though. Confirmation bias.

We are striving to be perfect in a chaotic operating environment.

Proximity to the material, I suppose. Since the mask covers the nose and mouth, when the infected breath or speak or cough a lot gets captured. And bear this in mind, they actually tested larger and smaller micron particles and the mask worked well on both.

Once that virus is floating, it is just a lot harder to block out with the mask, it can sneak in the sides or over the top.

The thinking being The System could prevent the deaths so The System has to be protected.

Their context.

Watch the common sense reply.

Have you seen a vapor spray test from coughing or sneezing with the mask on?

Not only that, but to prevent overwhelming hospitals and infecting health care workers in the process, knocking down the entire system.

And it worked in Detroit, anyway. I work in a 600 bed plus hospital and we have less than 50 COVID patients now, we were over 450 at one point.

Times were tough, they are getting better. Lots of parts of this country haven’t experienced it yet and I hope they took the time to prepare, because it hits like a freight train.

Why? 450 is 75% of 600. You had 25% reserve capacity.

Then people need proper masks…in which most are prevented from buying. Keep in mind if you’re not infected then you don’t infect others. Unless that is intentions. All you end up doing is spreading out infections over longer period.

You are not going to do an 8 hour shift 5 days a week wearing an N95.

Even if you could, filters, decontamination, etc.

Agreed. But I do think it was legitimate concern.

Nature did a nice study on this, Sneaky. Take a look…

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0843-2/tables/2

Do you think those other beds were vacant? They just had other patients. We had patients sleeping in hallways. I could barely sleep from the stress.

It was bad.

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Sure it was, if for no other reason that it took resources away from cases they actually could have saved.

So was it bad because of the COVID patients or the other conditions?