Has a Democrat ever won the presidency without winning Iowa ? not that I can find, at least not in last few decades.
Trump’s chances for re-election are much better than most people think. Incumbent will always have an advantage here since we haven’t not reelected one since 1992 - no matter how many seats the opposition party may gain in midterms, it’s not always a bellwether for presidential. His negatives aside, and there are plenty, a lot of the country still likes him in the White House - or at the very least, prefers him to the alternatives.
Far left candidates are still viewed with some suspicion, in middle america especially. Talk of getting rid of private insurance may play well on coasts, but you need more than just the coasts.
Liberals may have been right about Schultz helping Trump as the last poll shows.
Obviously way too early. But Iowa numbers are less important than these Michigan numbers:
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden
Detroit News/WDIV-TV
Biden 53, Trump 40
Biden +13
Michigan: Trump vs. Warren
Detroit News/WDIV-TV
Warren 46, Trump 43
Warren +3
Michigan: Trump vs. Harris
Detroit News/WDIV-TV
Harris 47, Trump 42
Harris +5
Michigan: Trump vs. Sanders
Detroit News/WDIV-TV
Sanders 52, Trump 41
Sanders +11
If these hold up over time(which they won’t as all polls won’t) Trump is ■■■■■■■ He needs a lot of things to fall perfectly for him again and if he isn’t even close tow inning Michigan then I don’t see a path.
I could possibly see Trump losing the popular vote but winning the electoral and a second term.
I think the Dems will take back Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. But not so sure about Florida and Ohio. Beyond that I haven’t paid much attention to the path to victory playing with those states.
And it’s wayyyyyy too early for polling. The Dem candidate hasn’t been solidified. And so many of those candidates are unknowns.
I see that Biden is leading in the states, but I don’t think that he’ll make it out of the primary. I saw a video where he’s yelling at young people telling them that they should have nothing to complain about. Okay… that doesn’t sound like a winning strategy.
“I don’t care about you, but vote for me!!” <= Doesn’t sound good…
If he is the only centrist running he definitely will make it far. Only one can be left standing of the far left candidates they will be mauling each other.
The field so far seems pretty balanced with centrist and left candidates.
Biden - Center
Sanders - Left
O’Rourke - Center
Harris - Center/Left
Warren - Left
Booker - Center
Bloomberg - Center
Castro - ???
Gabbard - Left
Brown- Left
Klobuchar - ???
Gillibrand - Center
Biden compared the complaints of millennials to what he experienced growing up in the 1960s and '70s, mentioning the civil rights and women’s liberation movements that were gaining traction simultaneously with the Vietnam War, making the United States a troubling place for young activists at the time
This is an election. Telling your constituents and voters to go pound sand is a bad idea. Just like Hillary Clinton and her surrogates said the jobs weren’t coming back and you need to get used to it was a bad idea
Someone else had it worse so I can completely dismiss you?
That is fair. I didn’t know for sure. I’ve been somewhat touch-and-go lately on who has stated they are seeking the nomination, and with the news cycle running so fast, I thought maybe I missed something.
Not 100%. He’s somewhat correct. Article correctly points out that economically, millennials are doing worse - much more likely to be saddled with a ton of student debt, but have less purchasing power despite a higher percentage of them having advanced degrees.
