War game suggests Chinese invasion of Taiwan would fail at a huge cost to US, Chinese and Taiwanese militaries

Opinion please: do we fight for Taiwan or let it go?

As part of that project, you would have to raise taxes on the rich, and expand the safety net.

Exactly the opposite. You want to drive up demand for our own products and raise wages.

The single best way of raising wages and getting back to a single income family can’t be done by legal means. Socially it has to become the norm for one parent to stay at home again.

I’m for not basing that on gender, but it was an unintended side effect of women entering the work force en mass. When the labor pool is doubled, the value of labor is halved.

This has morphed beyond a china discussion, but that’s the basic problem with our economy.

In a nut shell: we doubled our labor pool, but then to keep increasing our standard of living we traded our industry for cheaper foreign goods.

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If it comes right down to it, let it go.

The price of war is too high and the chance of a world ending nuclear escalation is too high.

Thank you.

Trump doctrine worked.

They won’t, not even close.
(It’s been a decade or more since I followed the issue closely but) the Chinese Nationalists make no secret about their intentions.

  • They believe Taiwan, (which was an actual part of China for only a handful of years) is an integral part of China and
  • They seek to make much of the Pacific Rim (Korea, vietnam, Philippines, Japan) Chinese tributary states
    — They point to Soviet control of Eastern Europe, English colonies all over the globe and US gunboat diplomacy in 1800s Central America as models
    — They may mention that it is somehow “unfair” but they are practically philosophical about it. Picture a person shrugging and saying “It’s our turn,” or “It’s what countries do.”
    — It is exactly precisely what the Japanese were seeking to do in WW2
    — It is exactly precisely in keeping with Morgenthau’s “Realist” school of thought, and regional balances of power.
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bunch of hype

A recent Politico article summarizes war games and analysis that show that the US is headed towards a defeat in the Pacific if continues on its present course. The war in Ukraine has exhausted US weapons stocks, and decades of offshoring have left US industry a hollowed-out shell.

Here is an excerpt:

The war began in the early morning hours with a massive bombardment — China’s version of “shock and awe.” Chinese planes and rockets swiftly destroyed most of Taiwan’s navy and air force as the People’s Liberation army and navy mounted a massive amphibious assault across the 100-mile Taiwan Strait. Having taken seriously President Joe Biden’s pledge to defend the island, Beijing also struck pre-emptively at U.S. and allied air bases and ships in the Indo-Pacific. The U.S. managed to even the odds for a time by deploying more sophisticated submarines as well as B-21 and B-2 stealth bombers to get inside China’s air defense zones, but Washington ran out of key munitions in a matter of days and saw its network access severed. The United States and its main ally, Japan, lost thousands of servicemembers, dozens of ships, and hundreds of aircraft. Taiwan’s economy was devastated. And as a protracted siege ensued, the U.S. was much slower to rebuild, taking years to replace ships as it reckoned with how shriveled its industrial base had become compared to China’s.

The Chinese “just ran rings around us,” said former Joint Chiefs Vice Chair Gen. John Hyten in one after-action report. “They knew exactly what we were going to do before we did it.”
The Pentagon Is Freaking Out About a Potential War With China - POLITICO

war drums 1

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Fight 'em in Taiwan or fight 'em in Tennessee!

NATO?!

Now there’s a plan!

What does Zelensky think?

Then how does China “fail”?

Wow. People still thinking China will use military force to take Taiwan.

is your google broke?

Inside stuff.

From what I see, the Pentagon realizes that time is not on our side, but starting a war now is not a good option either.

China can grow much stronger relative to the US if it diverts even a small portion of its enormous industrial output into military capacity. At the same time, the Pentagon realizes that the US has already exhausted its weapons stocks in Ukraine and is likely to lose badly if we provoke a war with China now that it has de facto alliance with Russia.

Negotiation and peaceful coexistence are the logical policies, but they are anathemas to neocons. American world domination is an article of faith they are not willing to abandon.