Total tax revenues (TOTAL- before you try and pull your "record individual tax receipts BS again) have dropped pretty much exactly at the rate the deficit has increased.
Therefore, lost revenues from the tax cuts ARE the main drivers of this current deficit spike.
I’m confused. Tax revenue was $3.27 trillion in 2016 and $3.32 trillion in 2017. The estimate for 2018 is $3.34 trillion. What is the problem? Despite tax cuts we continue to see increased revenue.
No one disputes we have a spending problem, but DEMs share a lot of the blame for that.
FY 2018 started October 2017. Through April of 2018, revenues reflected mostly old tax rates. That leaves about 5 months of revenue collection that would be affected by the new tax law. Since April, every month has been below that of the previous year.
Now, everyone would expect skyrocketing tax revenues in a skyrocketing economy resulting in lower deficits. That’s not going to happen this time for obvious reasons.
Absent the tax cut, our deficit would be shrinking rapidly.
Indeed, and come a bad recession, we’re going to have a lot less flexibility with monetary policy. Wouldn’t be surprised with close to $2T deficits if a recession is bad enough…