OK thanks. Looks like a few races could remain very very close on election night.
This is quite significant. Nevada has been trending blue in recent years, but I guess they like Heller. Not over of course, but heâs obviously in a decent position heading to the home stretch.
Polls have had Heller at +2 for a little while. Still a toss up, interesting that polls havenât moved much.
The Cook Political Report moved the NJ Senate race to toss up. I donât believe Menendez is going to lose, but itâs obviously close. A Dem Super Pac has put $6M into this race in the last few weeks, they wouldnât be doing that if it was in the bag. However it does mean they are having to spend money in a race that normally wouldnât be competitive.
Yeah, I donât really know why 538 did that. Heller might be slightly favored, but most polls show it near a dead heat.
I wonder if its because Heller keeps posting slight + numbers in polls.
Well he is showing to be consistently ahead, but just barely. It seems to be a perfect fit for the "toss upâ category.
The latest from 538:
Indiana Dem Donnelly â 67.7%
Nevada Rep Heller ------- 59.4%
Arizona Dem Sinema â 63.8%
Florida Dem Nelson ----- 72.0%
Missouri Dem McCaskill â 58.1%
Montana Dem Tester ----- 85.4%
I really dont think mccaskill is going to be reelected. Missourians are 2nd in stupidity to my own home state of Kansas. We are gonna elect a Brownback clone of Kobach who has promised to put back in place the same tax cuts Brownie did that bankrupted the state.
Yea, I am also afraid that McCaskill will lose her reelection bid. I am also starting to worry about Indiana. I definitely donât want Donnelly to lose his reelection bid. He is a good Senator.