This is something anyone can do. A lot of this is opinion. I just think Lichtman interpreted these keys based on his bias. Clearly there were at least 6 false that should have given Trump the victory based on the keys. I have 7.
Lichtman got the 2024 election wrong. He predicted Harris would win. Guess who he blames for his miss.
None other than Trump! 
He actually blamed it on the electorate. This time around he could not bring himself to be impartial. I’ve even consulted democrats on this. Many people see 6 false for Trump. But Lichtman couldn’t bring himself to do it. His keys are fine.
the 2 I saw as wrong were the Charisma Key which should have gone to Trump, and the Challenge key which should not have been awarded at all.
How do you not give the charisma key to Trump? You don’t have to like him. The Antichrist is supposed to be charismatic. We can recognize Obama and Bill Clinton to be charismatic.
The other one is short term economy. That was defined by whether or not there was recession. Clearly the economy was not a Biden strong point. You can’t give that to them.
Then you have scandal. In what world is Lichtman living in? Biden being outed as a vegetable and being replaced is most certainly scandalous. How do you ignore that? That’s easily a false for Trump. No scandal? False.
I believe the model is flawed because some of the answers can be very subjective. For instance, the economy. LIBs claim it is good, and CONs believe it is bad. Military success and failure. LIBs and CONs will have very different answers there. Same with scandal. LIBs would likely say no, while CONs would say absolutely yes. Charisma is also very subjective. I doubt anyone (LIB or CONs) would call Harris charismatic. But when it comes to Trump, LIBs will say no and CONs will likely say yes.
Those 6 very subjective keys would sway the prediction one way or the other. LIBs would likely say the Keys point to a Harris victory, while CONs would likely say the Keys point to a Trump victory.
Lichtman is an admitted LIB. I strongly suspect he was swayed by his feeling toward Harris and against Trump. Thus his miss.
Just like with stock picking, if you have enough people inputting, eventually a few will appear to have made better decisions and really understand how to do this right…by chance.
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Exactly!
He predicted Trumps victory in 2016 and the model is based on being objective meaning that for Trump or Harris or anyone to be considered charismatic both sides would have to agree.
why do leftists lie so damned much?
The model does not rely on what both sides agree to about anything. It relies on what the person applying the model believes.
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Pretty sure that’s what I said. 
Charisma is also very subjective. I doubt anyone (LIB or CONs) would call Harris charismatic.
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But it’s just Lichtman making the decision. If he can’t remain objective, his keys won’t work. I don’t think judging who is charismatic is all that difficult.
Here’s the problem Lichtman faced every election cycle. He wants the Democrats to win, and he doesn’t want his keys to be wrong. If he picks a republican to win, something has to happen that he doesn’t like. I think he talked himself into a Harris win this time around.
Think about it, no scandal? Of course that should have been false. Having to replace the nominee because they were hiding his condition is of course scandalous.
The last key says uncharismatic challenger. Even if you don’t think he’s charismatic, you probably can’t say he’s uncharismatic. That’s like Ross Perot. With just those two being false, the keys say Trump would win.
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