Stein, Trump lead latest polls in North Carolina

Interesting pattern which has persisted in North Carolina over several polls. While Trump maintains a modest lead in the Presidential race, Josh Stein continues to maintains a similar lead over Mark Robinson in the gubernatorial race, while Republicans hold varying, but relatively small leads in the various Council of State races. Clearly, a substantial number of people, including yours truly, are ticket splitting in North Carolina this year.

I am fairly confident that North Carolina will ultimately split this year, with Trump and Stein both narrowly prevailing and with the Council of State races being split at least to some extent.

Sounds about right. Robinson is a bad candidate.

Trump would do well to get out of the kingmaker business.

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And there is one even worse than Robinson.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/09/politics/kfile-michele-morrow-january-6-comments/index.html

The sad thing is that she defeated the Republican incumbent Superintendent of Education in the March primary, who was a good person.

crosstabs. LOL

55% female

This is from August 9th. Drudge and CNN are claiming Harris is leading Trump in all battleground states. Also reporting Harris’ Vegas soirée “was bigger than his”? :sunglasses:
Lotsa suckers in Vegas and not all in the casinos?

apples and oranges.

Trump did not have a rally, it was an event put on by a voting group and Trump attended. Max capacity for the event was 3500, which was reached and people were outide.

Harris filled half the auditorium and covered the empty half with curtains to make it look full.

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Cook just moved the Presidential race to tossup in North Carolina.

The total Robinson electoral meltdown has much to do with that.

And it has clearly reached the point that he will likely take down other Republican candidates with him. In the Superintendent of Public Instruction race, that would be a good thing, in some of the other Council of State races, not such a good thing.

It will again be an extremely close election and most likely neither candidate will reach an outright majority of the vote, with the winner likely being decided by a plurality only.

Female vote participation percentage in NC 2020 Election = 55.9%

Actual 2020 vote percentage hard to say as 50.4% listed as female, 41.4% as male and remainder unregistered.

Giving each group half, Females represented 54.5%

Allocating based on the registered % makes it 54.9% Female

So 55% in the poll seems dead on.

nope 52 48, just like everywhere else

Nope.

You stand corrected.

no, I don’t

bunch of trash

If you can’t admit when you are obviously wrong, why should we take your posts about polls or anything else having to do with math seriously?

Here is another source - the scary New York Times - so maybe that’s “trash” too. In this one it is 56% female.

You are wrong. Dead wrong. And NC is your state right? You should know better.

You stand corrected.

Again.

No, you do

here is where the raw file is that was used

That file is not a complete record, it contains no more than a few thousand votes.

It says it right on your post

“these figures are estimates”

its a bunch of trash and the NYT is an exit poll, more trash

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Weak.

You are dead wrong but can’t admit it.

Can’t be taken seriously.

Another source.

You stand corrected for a third time.

no, you are posting trash. I gave you the raw file and you can see for yourself. There’s a few thousand votes in it. Your source used them like a poll to extrapolate.

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thats the same NYT exit poll you just posted. more trash

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OMG dude you lost. get over it. Take the L. Move on.

no, your posting trash exit polls to back up the extrapolated data from a hacker.

its all trash

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Hahaha

OMG I love this.

Credibility. Gone.

yes, we know you love your trash

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