If the final balance comes out 218/217, 219/216 or 220/215, it is really going to be an interesting ride.
You have to go back to the 72nd Congress (1931 to 1933) to find so close a division. Interestingly in that Congress, Republicans were elected to a narrow majority but by the time the House organized 14 months later, several Republican deaths allowed the Democrats to organize the House. (Note that this was pre-lame duck Constitutional Amendment.)
There are usually a number of vacancies in the House i.e. someone resigns, someone is incapacitated, etcâŚ
So what happens if the margin of control by one party is so razor thin that it disappears after a few such events ? Would the Speaker have to give up their post ?
What would happen is if the Democrats felt they had the majority, they would offer a privileged motion to declare the Speakership vacant. If that motion passed, there would immediately be an election for Speaker.
So it looks like 220 to 215 if the ones leading hold on, and the ones trailing donât overtake those ones they are behind, so now it may be 220-215 the other way. That Begich guy submarined Palin, kinda stupid to give the Alaska seat to a Democrat.
Actually, it is Begichâs VOTERS who will make that determination. Many of them canât stand Palin and will give their second place votes to the Democrat. Voterâs choice.
Lauren Boebert in CO-3 (leading)
Sarah Palin or Nick Begich in AK-AL (both trailing)
Kevin Kiley in CA-3 (leading)
John Duarte in CA-13 (trailing)
David Valadao in CA-22 (leading)
Scott Baugh in CA-47 (trailing)
Brian Maryott in CA-49 (trailing)