Latest Quarterly GDP/GDI report (covers 4Q 2024): Top Line looks good but . .

Top Line: US seasonally-adjusted real GDP grew $142b in the final quarter of last year.

That is 2.4% at a seasonally adjusted annual rate.
Not terrible, the long-term average is 3.1% and 2.4% is within the standard dev.

What IS disconcerting is HOW we got $142b in (ahem) “economic growth” last quarter.

Alongside the $142b total it should be noted

  • Americans withdrew a net $64b form personal savings (17% of total)
  • Medicaid and Medicare spending increased $29b
  • Medicare spending increased $30b
  • Another $37b was increases in what employers paid for benefits.

These four total $160b. If you break your leg and the taxpayer fixes it, is that “economic growth?” If someone breaks your window and the taxpayer fixes it, is that “economic growth?”

GDP Release:

  • We are having more heart attacks (and paying for them)
  • We are breaking more hips (and paying for them)
  • We are taking money out of our personal savings accounts, whereas in the recent past we bough the same stuff and had money left over to put IN to personal savings.

Some people will use some very strange definitions and try to tell you this is "economic growth.

I suggest you should be very very skeptical of such people.

Whaddya think?
Should we keep doing this or not?

Does buying art count as growing the GDP?