zantax:
From How likely is another Carrington Event? | Earth | EarthSky
Using annual averages of the top few percent of the aa index the researchers found that a ‘severe’ super-storm occurred in 42 years out of 150 (28%), while a ‘great’ super-storm occurred in 6 years out of 150 (4%) or once in every 25 years.
On average, once every 25 years. Not good.
If those odds are accurate and the effect is properly characterized, why haven’t we had a destruction of our electrical system yet? I haven’t heard of any severe outages attributable to this, either terrestrial or in space.
tzu
April 30, 2021, 3:04pm
22
“Know1ng” was a good bad movie with a brilliant use of Ludwig’s 7th in the ultimate scene, not a prophecy.
zantax
April 30, 2021, 3:19pm
23
Borgia_dude:
zantax:
From How likely is another Carrington Event? | Earth | EarthSky
Using annual averages of the top few percent of the aa index the researchers found that a ‘severe’ super-storm occurred in 42 years out of 150 (28%), while a ‘great’ super-storm occurred in 6 years out of 150 (4%) or once in every 25 years.
On average, once every 25 years. Not good.
If those odds are accurate and the effect is properly characterized, why haven’t we had a destruction of our electrical system yet? I haven’t heard of any severe outages attributable to this, either terrestrial or in space.
Sun has been unusually calm for the last couple of decades. And we have, knocked out all of Quebec, happened twice to the telegraph.
tzu
April 30, 2021, 3:23pm
25
Please show the science documenting how, every 25 years, CMEs collapse technological infrastructure.
zantax
April 30, 2021, 3:27pm
26
Already did and it’s on average, as in six such events over the last 150 years. Wasn’t remotely saying it happens every 25 like clockwork.
tzu
April 30, 2021, 3:27pm
27
Show the collapse, please. Not an extrapolation, the events.
zantax
April 30, 2021, 3:28pm
28
There wasn’t much to collapse. But if you want evidence it can, here you go.
tzu
April 30, 2021, 3:30pm
29
So a single event, and one that is sensationalized? That’s anecdote, not science.
zantax
April 30, 2021, 3:32pm
30
Peer reviewed study link in this article.
tzu
April 30, 2021, 3:35pm
31
Habitat loss, niche collapse, desertification, coastline and ice/albedo loss are ongoing, cumulative, exponential and cascading. The science is comprehensive, and the causes well modeled.
But no, let’s jettison all that and priortize resources based on, and for, junk b-film single-event catastrophism.
What a hoot.
1 Like
tnt
April 30, 2021, 3:37pm
32
zantax:
If you want to lie awake at night worrying about the future of mankind, go check out the probability we have a CME that fries all of our satellites and electronics, up to and including your digital savings within the next fifteen years and get back to me about which problem we should prioritize as a nation and as a planet.
Hint, it’s almost a certainty.
What I appreciate most about your dire prediction is the well cited sources that are creating your concern.
tnt
April 30, 2021, 3:38pm
33
Since Yellowstone might erupt, we might as well not worry about global warming.
2 Likes
tnt
April 30, 2021, 3:40pm
34
I would imagine we could do something about this, but it will probably mean we have to raise taxes. So, non starter I guess.
tzu
April 30, 2021, 3:41pm
35
A tax cut for Gates, Musk, Mercer, Bezos and Buffet should do the trick.
zantax
April 30, 2021, 3:42pm
36
What could we do to prevent it? We can harden our grid to survive this.
tnt
April 30, 2021, 3:43pm
37
And under no circumstances would we want to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill to address infrastructure issues like this, especially if that bill provides for a way to pay for infrastructure issues like this.
zantax
April 30, 2021, 3:44pm
38
Which part of the infrastructure bill addresses this issue?
tnt
April 30, 2021, 3:44pm
39
Hardening our grid is wise in the face of global climate change as well as a host of other threats. Let’s do it.
You should call some GOPers and tell them to get off they ass and pass an infrastructure bill.
tzu
April 30, 2021, 3:45pm
40
No, it would be better to focus on vouchers for creationist schools, who will give us the bootstrapped engineers of the future, who will solve it then.
1 Like