665,000 dead/105,000,00 TP =.633 mortality rate.
68,922 dead/330,000,000 TP = .208 mortality rate.
Which number is bigger?
The smaller the denominator the higher the fatality rate. Basic math.
665,000 dead/105,000,00 TP =.633 mortality rate.
68,922 dead/330,000,000 TP = .208 mortality rate.
Which number is bigger?
The smaller the denominator the higher the fatality rate. Basic math.
adroit:
WildRose:
How do we calculate the mortality rate for the 1918 Spanish flu outbreak?
Total deaths, total population.
Do you really want to go down this road? I’m game.
We’re talking about the case fatality rate. A total population mortality rate wouldn’t go down. The numerator doesn’t get smaller.
665,000 dead/105,000,00 TP =.633 mortality rate.
68,922 dead/330,000,000 TP = .208 mortality rate.
Which number is bigger?
The smaller the denominator the higher the fatality rate. Basic math.
Why are you moving the goal posts. We’re talking about the fatality rate of COVID-19 “dropping like a rock” in a matter of weeks. It hasn’t. It’s higher than it was a week ago.
665,000 dead, 105,000,00 TP =.633 mortality rate.
68,922 dead 330,000,000 TP= .208 mortality rate.
Which number is bigger?
The smaller the numerator the higher the fatality rate. Basic math.
One reason we all know you don’t know what you are talking about is, a few posts ago you claimed the rate you were discussing was once as high as 8%. How could the mortality rate of the total population once been 8% and now under 1 given that the population is static, and COVID deaths is going up?
lol.
So silly.
You’re all over the place. Dividing deaths by those tested. Then by total population. Then comparing it to Spanish flu.
adroit:
WildRose:
How do we calculate the mortality rate for the 1918 Spanish flu outbreak?
Total deaths, total population.
Do you really want to go down this road? I’m game.
We’re talking about the case fatality rate. A total population mortality rate wouldn’t go down. The numerator doesn’t get smaller.
665,000 dead/105,000,00 TP =.633 mortality rate.
68,922 dead/330,000,000 TP = .208 mortality rate.
Which number is bigger?
The smaller the denominator the higher the fatality rate. Basic math.
Additionally we now know that very likely the reported number of confirmed cases is probably 20-50x lower than the actual number.
Using the same methods we calculate influenza mortality what does that number now look like?
You’re all over the place. Dividing deaths by those tested. Then by total population. Then comparing it to Spanish flu.
We’ve been comparing it to the Spanish Flu from the beginning since that was the last major pandemic for which we didn’t have effective treatments, testing, or vaccinations.
Don’t you like apples to apples comparisons?
We’ve been comparing it to the Spanish Flu from the beginning since that was the last major pandemic for which we didn’t have effective treatments, testing, or vaccinations.
Don’t you like apples to apples comparisons?
How did the rate you are discussing go from 8% to under 1% if the population is static and cases are rising?
You don’t know much of anything other than what you are being fed to confirm your own bias.
I never said it hit 8%, don’t misrepresent what I have stated, it’s dishonest as hell.
WildRose:
We’ve been comparing it to the Spanish Flu from the beginning since that was the last major pandemic for which we didn’t have effective treatments, testing, or vaccinations.
Don’t you like apples to apples comparisons?
How did the rate you are discussing go from 8% to under 1% if the population is static and cases are rising?
I never said it hit 8%, don’t misrepresent what I have stated, it’s dishonest as hell.
The fact you feel the need to misrepresent what I said shows the intellectual bankruptcy of your own position.
We’ve been comparing it to the Spanish Flu from the beginning since that was the last major pandemic for which we didn’t have effective treatments, testing, or vaccinations.
Don’t you like apples to apples comparisons?
Please stop trying to distract from your claim: COVID-19 fatality rate has dropped like a rock in a matter of weeks.
Stoop attacking me to cover your own failures and lack of even basic math skills with respect to fractions.
I never said it hit 8%, don’t misrepresent what I have stated, it’s dishonest as hell.
The fact you feel the need to misrepresent what I said shows the intellectual bankruptcy of your own position.
Sorry.
How would the rate you are discussing go from approaching 8% to under 1% if the population is static and cases are rising?
We’ve been comparing it to the Spanish Flu from the beginning since that was the last major pandemic for which we didn’t have effective treatments, testing, or vaccinations.
Don’t you like apples to apples comparisons?
Then why did you say COVID mortality rate was approaching 8% and then dropped to under 1% if you were speaking of morality vs. total population?
Two weeks ago we lacked information showing the total infection rate is likely 20-50x higher than reported.
Would you prefer we adjust the numbers reflecting that?
It will still show a dramatic drop in the mortality rate.
Stoop attacking me to cover your own failures and lack of even basic math skills with respect to fractions.
Attacking you? You @‘d me mocking my model and math skills and I’m asking you to show your work and you’re all over the place.
I did and you’ve been mocking me from the beginning which is what started this pissing contest.
You get what you earn.
Two weeks ago we lacked information showing the total infection rate is likely 20-50x higher than reported.
Would you prefer we adjust the numbers reflecting that?
It will still show a dramatic drop in the mortality rate.
We know for a fact it’s not 50x higher. Do you know how?
I did and you’ve been mocking me from the beginning which is what started this pissing contest.
You get what you earn.
Mocking you? No one is mocking you. How did you come to that conclusion?
Two weeks ago we lacked information showing the total infection rate is likely 20-50x higher than reported.
Would you prefer we adjust the numbers reflecting that?
It will still show a dramatic drop in the mortality rate.
You claimed you were discussing total mortality vs population because you were comparing it to the spanish flu.
Then you oddly tried to calculate mortality vs. all tests taken, which really isn’t a thing.
…
So what rate were you claiming approached 8 and has now dropped under 1? what rate and where did you get your numbers?
You said mortality rate was dropping like a rock and cratering, would hit 8% and then drop down to 1% or less. The only backing data you’ve supplied is that we have performed 7,000,000 tests and have ~68,000 deaths. You seem to think all 7,000,000 of those tests are positive.