Will Trump win with a surge of late returns from conservative Hispanics in Arizona?

once-ler · 2020-11-06T21:59:57.310Z

Will Trump win with a surge of late returns from conservative Hispanics in Arizona?

Follow the Plan.

Chris · 2020-11-09T20:58:28.103Z

It looks like Biden is going to hold onto his Arizona lead. Here are the latest election results from Arizona here.
Biden – 1,644,074 - 49.37%
Trump - 1,626,943 - 48.85%

Biden’s win in Arizona can mostly be attributed to Pima County. While Clinton won Pima County by 13.57%, Biden won Pima County by as much as 19.54%.

Bill.in.PA · 2020-11-09T22:10:44.780Z

Trump is still looking like the likely winner in Arizona:

twitter.com

Chris Buskirk

@thechrisbuskirk

Arizona Update Latest Drop Trump: 8,567 (64%) Biden: 4,491 (33%) Biden lead has now shrunk to 16,952. There are ~29k regular ballots remaining, 48k provisional. If provisionals are people who requested VBM but then went to polling place on Election Day probably good for DJT.

2:27 PM - 9 Nov 2020 2.5K 710

Count every legal vote!

biggestal99 · 2020-11-09T22:16:39.439Z

Bill.in.PA:

Trump is still looking like the likely winner in Arizona:

Nope and nope and nope.

The betting markets tell all

Trump 6-1 (bet 1 get back 7)

Biden 1-6 (bet 6 get back 7)

Allan

JayJay · 2020-11-09T22:18:53.067Z

I’m sticking with Biden’s lead will stabilize at around 10,000.

WCD9973 · 2020-11-09T22:19:26.392Z

Provisional ballots in both NV and GA went overwhelming to Biden.
Many of them are first time voters.

Trump could win AZ - Wouldn’t change the outcome of the race. But its not looking likely. The math just isn’t there.

Trump needs to win 60.7% of remaining ballots. Hes been Avg 53.3

JayJay · 2020-11-09T22:22:16.132Z

WCD9973:

Provisional ballots in both NV and GA went overwhelming to Biden.
Many of them are first time voters.

Trump could win AZ - Wouldn’t change the outcome of the race. But its not looking likely. The math just isn’t there.

Trump needs to win 60.7% of remaining ballots. Hes been Avg 53.3

That was just my calculus.

Final tally would be 10,792 lead for Biden.

Fox and AP start breathing again.

WCD9973 · 2020-11-09T22:23:14.305Z

BTW Lets be clear what we are talking about. Cause I think AZ is leaning Biden - but could flip.

But with only about 66,000 votes left and Biden Avg about 61% of the votes coming in - Biden is going to win that by almost 3%.

GA is basically done counting and Biden is winning by 11,500+ votes

PA is now 45,000 vote lead, and is not even in recount numbers any more (spread is now .7%)

The question of did Biden with with 306 or 295 electoral votes is academic at best.

GrandWazoo · 2020-11-10T00:53:28.568Z

I remember watching Steve Cortes do his spin thing four years ago. He was always on the tube with Kellyanne, Jason Miller and Katrina Pierson. And man could they spin.

LucyLou · 2020-11-10T00:55:54.077Z

WCD9973:

The question of did Biden with with 306 or 295 electoral votes is academic at best.

Not to a particular Orange .

SixFoot · 2020-11-10T00:57:30.850Z

100% agree. The bar has never been higher for effective policies.

mollyBrown · 2020-11-10T00:59:43.189Z

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2020/10/28/meet-allie-young-a-native-american-activist-empowering-voters.html The Navajo tribe helped turn the state blue. Very intreting story about their voting efforts.

Chris · 2020-11-13T12:56:05.342Z

It’s official. Biden has won Arizona.

The Hill – 13 Nov 20

Biden takes Arizona, first Democrat to win there since 1996

President-elect Joe Biden is projected to win Arizona, making him the first Democrat to win the state since 1996.The projection comes over a week after polls closed on Election Day. Multiple n…

mollyBrown · 2020-11-13T13:02:39.262Z

I guess the answer to the OP is no.

biggestal99 · 2020-11-13T13:06:02.029Z

Chris:

It’s official. Biden has won Arizona

You called it way back earlier this year.

Allan

Tom_Ch · 2020-11-13T16:32:12.216Z

Chris:

It’s official. Biden has won Arizona.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/525810-biden-projected-to-win-arizona-first-democrat-to-win-there-since-1996

It looks like there are still about 10,000 votes left to be counted. So I am still not sold yet on AZ going to Biden.

NuffSaid · 2020-11-13T16:45:57.839Z

Tom_Ch:

Chris:

It’s official. Biden has won Arizona.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/525810-biden-projected-to-win-arizona-first-democrat-to-win-there-since-1996

It looks like there are still about 10,000 votes left to be counted. So I am still not sold yet on AZ going to Biden.

Biden’s up 11,000 votes. Not 100% of the votes would go to DJT.

Biden won AZ.

JayJay · 2020-11-13T16:47:39.180Z

Chris:

It’s official. Biden has won Arizona.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/525810-biden-projected-to-win-arizona-first-democrat-to-win-there-since-1996

Almost bang on with my prediction that Biden’s lead would stabilize at ~10,000 votes.

JayJay · 2020-11-13T16:48:22.154Z

Tom_Ch:

Chris:

It’s official. Biden has won Arizona.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/525810-biden-projected-to-win-arizona-first-democrat-to-win-there-since-1996

It looks like there are still about 10,000 votes left to be counted. So I am still not sold yet on AZ going to Biden.

Biden’s lead is ~11,000…more than there are ballots left.

WuWei · 2020-11-13T16:48:52.796Z

Congratulations.