pretty much every poll is showing biden beating trump. more and more polls are showing it to be a potential landslide
cooks political report today shows Biden with 279 electoral votes with some key states like florida still listed as toss ups.
some GOP strategists are saying they dont see any GOP congressional candidates being able to outperform trump.
at what point does the GOP realize that in addition to probably losing the white house they are at a serious risk of losing the senate and being creamed in the house? Does the GOP start to work to distance themselves from trump in order to save their own careers.
based on recent polls the GOP is in danger of losing their senate seats in arizona,north carolina,montana,maine and possibly even georgia
He still has the support of his base and their mindless belief in the cult in critical states will swing it. This is just my opinion. He may be a grifter but he has a lucky streak
his hard core base still supports him but if just 50k votes in the swing states change he loses. thats all was needed in 2016. Hes been working hard to turn off many times that many independents and moderates
Shrug. Talk to me after Labor Day. If the Senate races still look this bad or anywhere near this bad, McConnell may decide that if it’s gonna be him as minority leader with a majority of Democrats who have had to deal with him shredding the traditions of the Senate for years or throwing Trump to the wolves, well, see ya later Trump. Especially if he looks like a sure loser.
I believe it was @NebraskaFootball who linked to a Rolling Stone article recently that discussed why things would have to get much worse in the next several weeks before GOP politicians would consider jumping off the SS Trump to save their careers. Even if they do oppose him/find him distasteful, right now they won’t risk pissing off his devoted base.
Democratic Party has a long history of utterly screwing up a lead. If they have any sense of history/intelligence they’ll campaign like they are 15points behind. I can hope but I have no faith that they will.
State polls were ~3 points off in 2016 and even after that bumbling moron idioted his way through the last several months, he’s still only around -5 in a bunch of key states.
There IS reason to think that -5 will become -3 over the next few months and NO reason to think that the gap between polls and results will be different this time around.
But most importantly, the world is still paying me back for that time I took a 3rd piece of pizza at church camp that one time when I was only supposed to have 2.
The most amusing scenario is that even if he loses, Trump will demand their fealty even out of office. Probably for a run at 2024. Gonna be tough for conservatives to grab their tricorner hat and musket and pretend they never supported him.
The vindictive, petulant tweets railing against traitorous Republicans will keep Trump occupied until long past January 2021. He’ll have the art form elevated to the level of beat poetry, or zen koans.
