The Fox News poll is based on landline and cell phone interviews with approximately 1000 randomly chosen registered voters nationwide and is conducted under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) (formerly known as Anderson Robbins Research) and Shaw & Company Research ®. For the total sample, it has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. When necessary, minor weights are applied to age, race, education and gender variables to bring the sample into conformity with the most reliable demographic profiles. Fox News polls are not weighted by political party. Results from Fox News polls before February 2011 were conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp. Anderson Robbins Research changed its name to Beacon Research in 2019; the polling team is unchanged since 2011.
The Rasmussen poll matches the demographics for party and it is limited to likely voters. Those may be key factors given the tiny portion of people who answer the phone these days.
Ras is in their cyclical ramp up to 50% approval. They’ll start dialing it back again next week. Garbage poll. Everyone knows it. Look at Ras’ twitter. They troll like crazy. They’re not a serious organization.
Not this unskewed polls nonsense again. Most polls do not weight for political party. Unlike sex or age, political party identification is fluid. Depending on how they feel at a particular point in time there are those who shift between identifying as dem and rep.
I doubt they are optimistic because they feel Trump is going to get re-elected - although some may be. Either way, this poll seems like an outlier because it seems different from every other poll in the gap between two candidates.
A lot of people try to be good citizens. When their party is obviously sliding deeper and deeper into lawlessness and insurrection, or diving headlong into the same, good people will peel off.