Sknyluv
21
I appreciate your overview and agree with some points. You can’t deny that Trumps base is enthusiastic to vote for him … but no one else is.
Do you honestly think Trump has expanded his voting base since 2016?
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I sincerely hope that Trump supporters keep poo pooing polls. I’m perfectly fine with that.
As for myself, I’m going to keep working as if Biden actually was the underdog here. Got to keep the pressure on myself to ensure those polls translate into votes.
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Camp
23
I do based on his performance.
Trump has delivered on taxes, economy, immigration, and judicial appointments.
We still have a vibrant legal immigration system. Benefits for those who qualify have been available.
Trump responded to the virus with economic relief and a call to open just as soon as we can be safe doing so. He trusts the people to act in their best interest which is also the best interest of those who are vulnerable to infection by CV19.
Trump will pick up more young and minority voters than he loses from the senior group.
Trump will pick up working class votes by outworking Biden. say what you will…Trump is a working machine each and every day. His effort in late March and April was exhausting to witness with all of the 2 hour press events.
Honestly…Trump has done well.
Trukeytalks.com?
Where on earth was this website found? Was this Page 9 of a Google search, sandwiched in between Chinese medicines?
5 Likes
100%, he is the underdog.
Trump is the incumbent president.
How many times has the incumbent lost
Carter in 1980 and Elder bush in 1992.
The following were returned to office since I was born
Nixon, Reagan, Clinton, younger bush, Obama.
So looking at the odds
The odds favor the incumbent 5 to 2
Allan
Sknyluv
26
I just don’t see it. I think the Black vote will stay around historic levels (10%) but turnout will be a huge factor for Democrats. Trump very well might do better with the Hispanic vote than he did in 2016, but will it be enough? Hard to say at this point.
Moreover, he’s doing worse with women, worse with seniors, and worse with suburban/urban voters. I don’t think this young/minority vote is gonna overcome that.
WCD9973
27
In 22 days many of you will see a Biden Landslide and scream “It was clearly rigged!! No way Biden won by this much! No one saw this coming! It’s clearly fake illegal votes that made it. It’s obvious because of the margin of victory that NO one predicted”
The issue will be that basicly EVERYONE is predicting it. Many are just refusing to believe it.
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A good read on polls, and what’s up with them in 2020.
Camp
29
The uncertainty over CV19 turnout is actually considerable.
Pretty good read overall.
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JayJay
30
Over/under in how many times the word “oversampling” is used in this video?
Anyone? Anyone?
JayJay
31
More people have already voted than ever before in the past.
Think about 10% of the likely electorate has already gotten their votes locked in…and it’s 2:1 Dem/GOP edge in this at the moment.
On Election Day, of course.
By mail no so much.
Allan
It’s not a confusing statement.
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zonulet
35
“I don’t know why I’m not ahead by at least 50 oh, you know the ones, those things, at this point”-Joe Biden
WuWei
36
It is however a very silly statement.
It’s absolutely true. And actually very sensible on their part. Trump’s floor and ceiling on approval are like four points apart and always below fifty percent on the averages.
Campaigns are there to win however possible in reality, even ones run by a website designer with no political experience, not to assuage your feelings of how you’d like things to be.
WuWei
38
How is the President elected?
tzu
39
Trump cannot win the votes. The polls accurately reflect this.
He can win at the exploitation of the structural flaws in the Constitution.
No no no, hold up right there, you don’t get to turn around, agree with me and pretend you always did after mocking my statement and calling me silly.
I was explicitly talking about winning the EC to win the election. That is the exact statement you responded to, mocked and called silly.
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