Interesting article at Cook Political.
Sumter County could give very early election night clue as to how Florida might turn.
It is undisputed that Trump will carry Sumter County. But the percentage by which he carries it will be critical. At a minimum, he must carry Sumter by a margin of 2 to 1, something he accomplished in 2016 and something Rick Scott accomplished in 2018. It he carries Sumter 67 to 33 or more, he has a chance to carry Florida. On the other hand, if he carries Sumter by a margin of 60 to 40, most likely he is doomed in Florida and nationwide.
Sumter typically is very speedy in reporting its results and we could have substantially complete results from Sumter by 8:00 pm to 9:00 pm EST.
Sumter is home to most of The Villages and all this turns on a potential “gray” revolt.