if ukraine does go on the offensive, i see only 2 possibilities. accross the north from karkhiv would be insane, whatever they gain would be subject to attacks from russia. going back east would be unproductive, just putting themselves back in the pocket. that leaves kherson and melitopol. attempting kherson would be a hard and long drawn out fight, but it would push the front east. attempting melitopol would isolate kherson making it easier later. this is exactly why i believe they’ll try izyum. the ukraine strategy since their initial success has been entirely stupid, i see no reason to believe it won’t continue to be.
