The mainstream media can be counted on for hyping any outbreaks in red states that reopen, but infections from respiratory virus normally go way down during the summer so the outbreaks are likely to be limited. Limited lockdowns may be necessary if outbreaks occur this fall and there is limited vaccine availability.
As I noted earlier, states with Republican governors have a much lower risk death from the coronavirus to begin with. They may also have much better economies if they reopen while blue states stay locked down.
For background see:
Risk factor identified that triples the risk of death from COVID-19?