Tracking the Coronavirus

Well when the White House was telling everyone it was a hoax right up until at least the end of February, should we be surprised when several Americans continue to refuse to take it seriously? Have you seen the latest polls on trust in government information? Not reassuring, to say the least.

No really, you need to listen to us. We really mean it this time. :roll_eyes:

Within 8 hours the numbers jumped 30%… we will be at 50k cases by this time next week

I was thinking that as well.

Yeah and you thought people were acting stupid now. Just wait until ■■■■ really hits the fan.

US numbers haven’t moved since last night.

I am not sure if that’s because they actually haven’t moved, or because Johns Hopkins is late on updating their map.

Overall, 250.856 cases world wide, 10.067 dead.

As of right now, the CDC is reporting 15,219 known cases and 201 known deaths.

That is a 1.32% known mortality rate

Johns Hopkins has updated its site. 2:00 pm mountain time.

16,605 known cases, 216 deaths.

Japan still under 1,000, as is Australia.

17,303 with 221 dead, now.

Was just listening to the radio on the way home. Apparently, hospitalizations of the younger folks is increasing because they are not taking precautions.

And if the estimated 80% don’t get sick enough to seek medical attention is accurate, that is a 0.26% mortality rate.

6:24 pm update

US now at 19,101 cases surpassing South Korea by a long way. (South Korea and the US reported their first cases on the same day.)

249 dead.

But in an important qualification, an analysis by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported on Wednesday underlines a message that infectious disease experts have been emphasizing: Millennials are not invincible. The new data show that up to one-fifth of infected people ages 20-44 have been hospitalized, including 2%-4% who required treatment in an intensive care unit.

I don’t think anybody from the beginning has said that young people are invincible to this virus. They are just as likely be infected and their estimated death rate of 0.2% has been pretty consistent. It is just that they are much less likely to have severe symptoms and a lesser death rate than those over 50.

That is a 1.30% mortality rate.

That is a 1.28% mortality rate.

In the US.

At the moment.

World-wide, it seems to be at 4%.

19,205 at latest update. (740 pm mountain time).

249 dead.

No actually, that extrapolation means it will go down. The estimate of untested and thus unconfirmed cases now in the country is about five time the number of confirmed cases. That puts the current mortality rate in the US down around 0.25%.

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Every time a new number has been posted this week, the overall mortality rate went down.

:man_shrugging:

Yes, but that is normal when new cases are occurring faster than the disease runs in course in each victim. We really won’t know the effective lethality rate until the number of new cases matches the number of people who are over it (whether back to health or dead.) And we won’t now the actual mortality rate until the dust has settled and they can put a reasonably accurate number of the cases that were not officially reported. Then and only then will the mortality of this virus be comparable with other viral outbreaks such as the seasonal flu or SARS.