i will consider it. but its still a bit nitpicky arguing over .9%
dont you think?
how come you are just noticing it now?
i have been doing it since 2020.
Allan
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LOL… I don’t usually visit your threads. I’m trying to retain some IQ points.
I just noticed the poll reported a 7 point spread and you reported a 6 point spread. I did notice that the report had 6 while the listed spread was 7. So I checked. They rounded Kamala’s up and Trump’s down. Which, mathematically was correct for each number, but was not correct for displaying the spread. To be consistent with the spread they should have either rounded both up or both down. That’s not on you, its on them
just a few polls released this AM
good news for Harris
—————————-
New Jersey +12
good news for no one
——————————
Pennsylvania E
good news for trump
—————————-
Florida +2
Allan
a few polls from am/weekend
good news for trump
—————————-
Florida +6
Arizona +4
good news for Harris
——————————
North carolina +2
Illinois +11
new Hampshire +7
Allan
redfield (and a few others)released polls the pM
good news for harris
—————————
wisconsin +1
pennsylvania +1
nevada +1
minnesota +8
michigan +2
good news for no one
——————————
georgia E
good news for trump
—————————
florida +4
north carolina. +2
arizona +4
arizona +1
Allan
todays released polls
good news for trump
—————————-
texas +5
texas +6
florida +14
good news for no one
——————————
nevada E
good news for harris
—————————-
Arizona +1
Wisconsin +2
Pennsylvania +1
Michigan +3
Massachusetts +29
Allan
this morning AM releases
good news for trump
—————————-
montana +17
wisconsin +1
Pennsylvania +1
Pennsylvania+1
north Carolina +1
arizona +3
ohio +7
ohio +6
texas +7
texas +6
florida +4
good news for no one
——————————-
michigan E
georgia E
good news for harris
—————————-
nevada +1
Allan
a few released polls from this AM
good news for harris
—————————-
California +27
Michigan +2
Michigan +2
minnesota +6
georgia +2
arizona +2
good news for no one
——————————
Wisconsin E
North Carolina E
good news for trump
———————- ——
missouri +14
Nebraska +20
pennsylvania +1
Nevada +6
Allan
some swing states INTERNAL polls commisioned by trump
show him ahead in ALL the swing states.
the rout is on. lol.
Allan
I am curious biggestal99, which poll(s) have you noticed the largest change over the last couple of months? And why do you think the reason is? Thanks.
don’t know about him, but for the most part there have been only small shifts in polling. 1/2% to 1% for most. Bloomberg shows the most shifting, but its pretty much garbage anyway showing 5 pt or more shifts back and forth from one week to another.
prolly the new york times. bunch of outlier polls.
Allan
lol… if there’s a bunch, they’re not outliers
lets discuss. i gifted the link to hannity.
Allan
If you use the same methodology and assumptions, it is not surprising that you would get similar results. A question would be how are theirs different from those of other polls? At this point, I’d as soon wait three weeks to find out.
they were expecting a different result; didnt get it.
Allan
a few polls released on the weekend
good news for trump
—————————-
arizona +6
arizona +2
florida +6
geogia +3
good news for no one
——————————
Pennsylvania E
good news for harris
—————————-
washington +10
pennsylvNia +3
Allan
Obviously, the NYT is insane
Nate silver has a theory. more whites voting for Harris, more black and hispanics voting for Trump. that would account for the +6 for trump in Arizona and the +3 for harris in Pennsylvania.
Allan
Polls are everywhere, might as well read tea leaves at this point. Everything is in the margin of error.
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