8

Current Prediction: Labour short 9 of majority

Party — 2019 Votes —2019 Seats — Pred Votes — Low Seats — Pred Seats — High Seats
CON ---- 44.7% --------- 365 ------------- 32.1% --------- 117 ------------- 238 ------------- 328
LAB ----- 33.0% --------- 203 ------------- 40.2% --------- 233 ------------- 317 ------------- 441
LIB ------ 11.8% --------- 11 --------------- 10.9% --------- 4 ----------------- 11 --------------- 31

Conservatives still have a chance to turn this around, but they need to dump Johnson and his government now. They have absolutely a zero chance of winning the 2023/2024 General Election with Johnson, but if he goes now, I think they have at least a decent shot at turning things around and at least denying Labour a majority or perhaps doing well enough to form a minority government. Going to be extremely difficult for Tories to reach a majority in 2023/2024 with the current level of ill will against them.