The Tories get double thrashed in special elections, as their likely execution date in October 2024 approaches

Labour took Kingswood on a 16.4% swing.

Labour took Wellingborough on a 28.5% swing. Conservatives worst performance in that seat since 1923 and represents the loss of what is considered one of the Tories safest seats.

Labour retains massive polling leads.

Right now Electoral Calculus predicts:

Labour 453 seats
Tories 126
LibDem 31
Reform 0
Green 2
SNP 18
PlaidC 2
Others 0
(Last four are the 18 Northern Ireland seats)
DUP 8
Sein Fein 7
SDLP 2
Alliance 1

Oh, and did I mention that the United Kingdom just, officially, entered a recession.

Even Labour can’t ■■■■ this up at this point.

How do the Brits define a recession?

Just checked.

They define it identically to the United States, two consecutive quarters of decline in GDP.

Didn’t that get redefined last year by libs?

1 Like

I don’t have time to follow more than just a few threads here. If there was any discussion of a redefinition, I haven’t heard about it.

It was a year or two ago. Libs here and in media were saying two consecutive quarters was not the definition.

In fairness though most libs on here disagreed with the WH on this.