Safiel
February 18, 2024, 3:11am
1
Chris Skidmore
Independent[N 1]
Damien Egan
Labour
A by-election took place on 15 February 2024 in the UK Parliament constituency of Kingswood in South Gloucestershire. This followed the resignation of Conservative[N 1] MP Chris Skidmore, in protest at the UK government's decision to issue more oil and gas licences. Skidmore announced his resignation on 5 January and it was effected three days later.
Labour took Kingswood on a 16.4% swing.
Peter Bone
Independent
Gen Kitchen
Labour
A by-election took place on Thursday 15 February 2024 in the UK Parliament constituency of Wellingborough. This followed a recall petition held in late 2023 that removed the incumbent MP Peter Bone under the terms of the Recall of MPs Act 2015, triggered by his six-week suspension from the House of Commons for bullying and sexual harassment.
Labour took Wellingborough on a 28.5% swing. Conservatives worst performance in that seat since 1923 and represents the loss of what is considered one of the Tories safest seats.
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Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is being carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election ...
Labour retains massive polling leads.
Right now Electoral Calculus predicts:
Labour 453 seats
Tories 126
LibDem 31
Reform 0
Green 2
SNP 18
PlaidC 2
Others 0
(Last four are the 18 Northern Ireland seats)
DUP 8
Sein Fein 7
SDLP 2
Alliance 1
Oh, and did I mention that the United Kingdom just, officially, entered a recession.
Even Labour can’t ■■■■ this up at this point.
GWH
February 18, 2024, 4:00am
2
How do the Brits define a recession?
Safiel
February 18, 2024, 4:33am
3
Just checked.
They define it identically to the United States, two consecutive quarters of decline in GDP.
STODR
February 18, 2024, 5:55am
4
Didn’t that get redefined last year by libs?
1 Like
Safiel
February 18, 2024, 6:02am
5
I don’t have time to follow more than just a few threads here. If there was any discussion of a redefinition, I haven’t heard about it.
STODR
February 18, 2024, 7:15am
6
It was a year or two ago. Libs here and in media were saying two consecutive quarters was not the definition.
In fairness though most libs on here disagreed with the WH on this.