Some early take away's from the election results

[WuWei]

@PurpnGold

EC being bunk is my Election Day takeaway. I believe I responded to someone else talking about the EC.

Get on topic and stop spamming.

[PurpnGold]

So my Election Day takeaway needs to fit a certain criteria?

[TheRedComet]

Just make another thread. Friendly non-mod advice.

[zantax]

@PurpnGold

@Axxowiz

That would require 36 states to vote in favor of being irrelevant as well as 67 ‘yay’ votes from the senate. What you are asking for is impossible.

36 states don’t become irrelevant. That’s false.

But yes, I understand in this current environment, it won’t happen. It will take Republicans winning the popular vote and losing the EC for that to happen. That scenario won’t ever happen.

Psst, has happened before. And democrats used to be all for the EC and Republicans against. If you want to know who is on which side of the issue without asking them, just check and see which party got burned by it last.

[SixFoot]

One thing to takeaway is that Republicans have lost some negotiation powers with the impending democrat stimulus package. There’s gonna be pork-galore in that one now. Hundreds of billions of dollars to their friends, 1200 for you.

[hwyflier]

I wish my voter is number was tied to my digital signature so I don’t even have to think about registration wherever I am. My state can control it buts its secure enough to let me vote out of state or out of country or off planet. Blockchain?

Then I want the ability to opt-into a system with that secure identifier that lets me enter into opinion polling. Then I never want to see a polling firm that isnt using that system ever cited again.

[EternalVigilance]

@Axxowiz

Reminds me of an article I read on democracy now. There worst fear was Trump would lose then the economy would crash down the road because of the virus and lockdowns and then a real far right politician would come in 2024, one that didn’t act like a clown and talked and acted like a statesmen.

That’s actually a plausible scenario. I believe Kamala was a drag on the ticket as well and I don’t expect her to rally fanatical support as a Biden successor either, despite being the inevitable 2024 nominee.

[Konssurvative1]

@Eagle-Keeper

Polls were off again.

How so Eagle…i used quite a few polls to make my predictions…and they were spot on. What we are seeing is the vote panning out the way the polls said they would just not in normal election night time frames. I had Georgia going for Biden based on polls for Atlanta Metro. And the Trump lead is now down to 8700 votes.

I think the polls worked just fine. I also picked WI and MI based on polls

[Ben_Natuf]

don’t really think they could have done differently. the one thing that may have helped would have been trump deferring questions to the task force, but thats not his nature

[zantax]

@Konssurvative1

@Eagle-Keeper

Polls were off again.

How so Eagle…i used quite a few polls to make my predictions…and they were spot on. What we are seeing is the vote panning out the way the polls said they would just not in normal election night time frames. I had Georgia going for Biden based on polls for Atlanta Metro. And the Trump lead is now down to 8700 votes.

I think the polls worked just fine. I also picked WI and MI based on polls

Umm
From The polls were still way off in the 2020 election—even after accounting for 2016’s errors - Northeastern Global News

Beauchamp pointed to a tweet by political pollster Josh Jordan, which showed just how much Trump over-performed the FiveThirtyEight averages in nine swing states.

In Ohio, for example, he ran seven points better. In Wisconsin, it was eight points.

“Trump over-performed relative to the polls in these states by a median of 6 points,” says Beauchamp. “That’s a shockingly large error, though in other states it may have been smaller.”

This year’s polling errors, Beauchamp said, were “enormous” even compared to 2016, when polls failed to predict Trump’s defeat of Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.

[Konssurvative1]

I don’t know Beauchamp…but he sounds very wrong.

[zantax]

@Konssurvative1

I don’t know Beauchamp…but he sounds very wrong.

You seriously haven’t heard anyone else mention how polling got it wrong this time? Seriously?

[Konssurvative1]

I don’t say I didn’t hear it. I’m wondering why there is no talk about those who got it right.

Do people not expect all the votes to be counted? Did they think the election results as of midnight Nov. 4th was final. Did people think the metro areas would fall for Trump.

I’m saying all the polls I looked at we’re fairly accurate to the results we are seeing.

[SixFoot]

So how 'bout that Obamacare penalty tax coming back, eh?

[zantax]

@Konssurvative1

I don’t say I didn’t hear it. I’m wondering why there is no talk about those who got it right.

Do people not expect all the votes to be counted? Did they think the election results as of midnight Nov. 4th was final. Did people think the metro areas would fall for Trump.

I’m saying all the polls I looked at we’re fairly accurate to the results we are seeing.

https://www.salon.com/2020/11/04/professional-pollsters-blew-it-again-in-2020-why/

Hope that answers it for you.

[Konssurvative1]

I’m sure it will.

[Eagle-Keeper]

@zantax

@Konssurvative1

I don’t know Beauchamp…but he sounds very wrong.

You seriously haven’t heard anyone else mention how polling got it wrong this time? Seriously?

Exactly, the consensus is that in many cases the polls were way off again.

[Axxowiz]

You never know Biden might live to be 100, that don’t mean his mind will still be there but they might have to drag him out. I have noticed watching politicians over the years the majority never want to leave.

[EternalVigilance]

@Axxowiz

I have noticed watching politicians over the years the majority never want to leave.

Or Justices.

[Axxowiz]

Ya same there no one wants to relinquish that power, it’s addicting. I view pretty much all career politicians like this

They probably came in with the best of intentions but leave like this.